Thread: Defenders on "Car Sales."

Originally Posted by Zeros

............

But, it will be uncool to drive a non hybrid / elec vehicle in 10 years time. ......

Latest prediction I have seen (not from an EV enthusiast) is that Electric vehicles will sell 19% of the market in twenty years. EV enthusiasts are predicting 90% in five years. I suspect the former is closer.

Originally Posted by JDNSW

Latest prediction I have seen (not from an EV enthusiast) is that Electric vehicles will sell 19% of the market in twenty years. EV enthusiasts are predicting 90% in five years. I suspect the former is closer.

I reckon it will be in between, around 50% in 20 years...which will be a large portion of the new vehicle market. Hybrid will become the norm more quickly than that. $$ and fuel price will drive it more than the environment as usual.

I don't see E.V.'s becoming anywhere near as prevalent as quickly as some comments hear suggest.
Of course, I'm definitely not saying there's not a future for these vehicles, but IMHO at 10 yrs, I reckon the internal combustion engine will still be the major player. (Getting a bit off topic here!)
Pickles.

Current Defender prices don’t look to have dropped at all since new Defender pre-launch photos in December. If anything they may have risen a little?

Whats the consensus? will they continue to rise for classic Defenders, or begin to fall as new Defender is released like most other models?

I doubt there is a consensus - to a large extent it depends on what the new one is like.

Originally Posted by JDNSW

I doubt there is a consensus - to a large extent it depends on what the new one is like.

Yes agreed, consensus is the wrong word. ...but it’s interesting that prices dont look to have moved down at all. Early days I know and it’s very difficult to judge.

Doubt if prices will move for some time. Then Puma prices will fall, but series prices will keep rising, is my prediction. After about 20 years Puma prices will rise again.

Originally Posted by JDNSW

Latest prediction I have seen (not from an EV enthusiast) is that Electric vehicles will sell 19% of the market in twenty years. EV enthusiasts are predicting 90% in five years. I suspect the former is closer.

Looking at EV sales in Aus,

Around 0.18% of the new vehicle market at the moment,up very slightly from 2017,and2016.

So a long,long way to go.

No way it will be anything like 90% in 5 years,they are definitely dreaming.

It will be lucky to be 5% in 5 years on current trends.

And thats over 50 000 vehicles,up from around 1200 per annum,which in real terms,and trends, also seems very very optimistic.