Well, I say again, thank you all so much for your helpful replies. Now I understand. Loved Strangy's diagnosis - hey, I'm a professional photographer - I'm paid to overthink everything! (I thought I already posted this thank-you note, but I can't see it. Maybe I pressed the wrong button. Apologies if it's duplicated.)
I've learned from various manufacturer's spec sheets that the difference in tyre rolling circumference is due to tread pattern type - MTs are bigger than ATs. Within the tread type, they're fairly uniform across manufacturers for the same placarded size, but there's maybe 13mm difference in diametre between tread types (mud terrain and all-terrain).
My spares were both dodgy so I decided to get a couple of newies anyway. So I bought two AT's for the front and have the MTs as spares. Logic was that I already have two new MTs sitting in the container at home, so now I have a set of each. And if it rains on the way home, I can swap the spares over on one axle. I'll try to find two more 130 rims in due course.
Now when I do my test (mark the bottom dead centre of each tyre and drive 5 revolutions forward on flat ground) the marks all end up more or less in the same place. I don't know the answer to DiscoMick's question, but I tried the test on a very slight side slope, and the upper side two tyres showed about 50mm less travel than the lower side two. I thought that strange. Repeated the exercise on perfectly level ground and no such effect.
I was wrong about Alice Springs tyre prices. Turns out it was just one shop price-gouging. Most are only $25-35 dearer than coastal, which is fair enough considering freight. The mob I bought from conformed to their national catalogue price, so little pain there.
I bought GT Radial Adventuro AT2, which looked like an ordinary strong, relatively hard bush tyre. I'm more concerned about strength than tyre life, because I rarely manage to wear out a tyre anyway. A sharp stick or stone eventually gets 'em.
Many thanks,
Wayne
PS. The 13mm lower diametre of AT's might be a 6.5mm downer. I already drag my big Salisbury diff over termite mounds when following Tojo's. But I'm probably overthinking again!
