Ever-increasing levels of complexity
Quote:
Originally Posted by
bee utey
The trouble is that you're shooting at a target with skates on, i.e. what's true today isn't going to be true on another day. Every solar panel and every wind turbine that's made and installed has a payback period at which it has returned the energy spent on construction. After that the device produces essentially zero cost emissions free energy. So every year energy production, transport, retail and manufacturing as a whole gets a bit cleaner. Do you want to analyse each and every individual car/shed/panel/turbine? Was it made on a cool, windy and sunny day or a calm summers night? Or are you happy to know the rate of progress of the system as a whole? Numbers for the latter are pretty easy to find, state by state, country by country.
This is a fascinating series of posts!!
Responding to a few thoughts raised:
* the modified Toyota is a 'mine special' - probably costs a motsa - but serves its purpose.
* the obvious solution to 'range' is PHEV - of which the turbine shown is an interesting development. One would need to look closer at the actual performance; my first guess is there would be turbine whine to be dealt with - but there wouldn't be the reciprocating motor vibration to deal with. I expect some manufacturer will grab this tech and run with it.
* Does it take 5kw (about 20 old-fashioned miles worth for a Tesla S) to generate an (old fashioned US gallon's worth) of fuel? That's debated. One partisan response is the claim is based on 'old data' and in fact refineries use their own fuel to produce fuel.
** I couldn't find a greenhouse or energy equivalent figure for that (!!)
*** wait - does that mean to produce a fuel that becomes a greenhouse gas when used we're already producing greenhouse gases?? Couldn't get any info on that one either.
* The infrastructure thing with EVs is not only 'supercharger network' - it's that once it's in, there's only wires and maintenance. There's no fuel station, underground tanks, tankers on the roads, tankers producing greenhouse gases to deliver fuels which become greenhouse gases ...
But! - when you park your car at home - your home is a fueling station.
* As to where the power comes from - well, my daughter is currently writing up her PHD on 'distributed generation' amongst other things re renewables - so - watch this space. Basically, massive single-point power-stations (coal or nuclear) are finished; cleaner gas-fired generators have a chance but we're selling our natural gas overseas under short-sighted arrangements.
* Finding an EV that can tow a 3T van somewhere remote - well... Ain't been done yet.
** the Jaguar I-Pace initially had no provision for towing; current version has a 750kg possibility (much sought-after in Norway, where Teslas are immensely popular and apparently towbars can be a deal-breaker), this is expected to be upgraded as the motor/batteries get their upgrades. Wading depth of the I-Pace is 50cm.
Upshot?
# EVs are coming (and self-drive, too)
# Off-road EVs - I'm 66 and I think I'll live to see them in ordinary use.
** It's not too hard to imagine our red centre peppered with combined solar/wind/battery off-grid charging points.
# Off-road EVs towing 3T vans? Hmm... I wonder.
I wish we were building EVs in our just-emptied car factories... and had a government that was future-focused, not leg-shackled to the past (and the big end of town). Sigh.
Taking my diesel-powered AWD and human-powered hand-winch for a 3000k trip next week. Oh, goody!
Phideaux.