PDA

View Full Version : Weather outlook, May to July


bob10
24th April 2015, 08:07 AM
https://www.aulro.com/afvb/images/imported/2015/04/317.jpg (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ec7330327Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html?prompt=1&parent_id=zzzz553825daa34d9873) FWD to a friend (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ec7330327Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html?prompt=1&parent_id=zzzz553825daa34d9873) https://www.aulro.com/afvb/images/imported/2015/04/318.jpg (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ec78b1948Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html?prompt=1&parent_id=zzzz553825daa34d9873) Update my details (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ec78b1948Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html?prompt=1&parent_id=zzzz553825daa34d9873) https://www.aulro.com/afvb/images/imported/2015/04/319.jpg (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ec7dd6542Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html?prompt=1&parent_id=zzzz553825daa34d9873) Print (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ec80c9267Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html?ib=1&print=1) https://www.aulro.com/afvb/images/imported/2015/04/320.jpg (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ec8459780Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html?prompt=1&parent_id=zzzz553825daa34d9873) Subscribe (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ec8459780Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html?prompt=1&parent_id=zzzz553825daa34d9873) https://www.aulro.com/afvb/images/imported/2015/04/321.jpg (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ec8777342Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html) https://www.aulro.com/afvb/images/imported/2015/04/322.jpg (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ec8b56258Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html) https://www.aulro.com/afvb/images/imported/2015/04/323.jpg (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ec8e86479Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html) Share https://www.aulro.com/afvb/images/imported/2015/04/324.jpg Climate Outlookshttps://www.aulro.com/afvb/images/imported/2015/04/325.jpg (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ec937e887Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html)Climate Outlooks issued 23 April 2015
Monthly and seasonal Climate Outlooks (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ec9e75073Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html) for May to July 2015 are now available on the Bureau's website.
Overview (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ec9e75073Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html)

Wetter than normal likely over most of Australia, except for the tropical north and Tasmania.
Warmer than average days likely over the tropical north, southeast and far southwest of Australia. Cooler than normal days more likely for northwest to central Western Australia, extending to western New South Wales.
Climate influences are warmer than normal sea surface temperatures in the Indian Ocean and waters surrounding much of the Australian coastline. Models suggest El Ni?o is likely to develop over the coming one to two months in the tropical Pacific.

Rainfall (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399eca1a5711Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html)
Temperature (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399eca6d5844Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html)Climate and water video (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ecaaf4975Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html)
https://www.aulro.com/afvb/images/imported/2015/04/326.jpg (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ecae84412Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html) https://www.aulro.com/afvb/images/imported/2015/04/327.jpg (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399eca6d5844Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html) https://www.aulro.com/afvb/images/imported/2015/04/328.jpg (wlmailhtml:{6A9B58E9-848C-4A2C-91ED-F9638FAC2BB1}mid://00000067/!x-usc:http://e.bom.gov.au/link/id/zzzz5538399ecb1b4268Pzzzz544dc2332c89c854/page.html)Chance of exceeding median rainfall for May to JulyChance of exceeding median maximum temperature
for May to JulyBrief summary of the rainfall, temperature and streamflow outlooks
ramblingboy42
25th April 2015, 09:55 AM
this is interesting.

if the Earth has moved slightly on its axis,as has been recently suggested, every place on the planet now has a slightly diifferent relationship to the sun and the moon, which ultimately are the two major factors effecting our weather.

tides may change, wind and rain may occurr differently , and local average temperatures may rise or fall accordingly.

if you consider the very small tilt at the poles moves a spot on the earth's circumference several hundred kilometres, then Sydney and south eastern Australia could very well be experiencing weather more common to Bass Strait.

would love to hear OPEN MINDED replies to my thoughts.
Bushie
25th April 2015, 12:25 PM
I don't think it would work as you have said. If the axis tilted to give a movement of several hundred km (to put Sydney roughly in Bass strait) that would require a tilt of some 6 degrees and I think we would all have heard about that.
The only references I can find, all talk about the gradual shift of the poles at about 100mm per year.
There seems to be some discussion of a wobble induced by melting of polar ice and changes in gravity by the redistribution of the mass of water, but other than that, nothing about a sudden shift.
There is the fact that Japan moved 2.5m after the earthquake, but even though that is a decent shift geologically, it wouldn't make much difference climate wise.

My thoughts anyway.


Martyn
Mick_Marsh
25th April 2015, 01:24 PM
every place on the planet now has a slightly diifferent relationship to the sun and the moon, which ultimately are the two major factors effecting our weather.I'm still wondering how the moon influences the weather.
1935JRASC..29..108H Page 108 (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/full/1935JRASC..29..108H)
Discomark
25th April 2015, 01:31 PM
Water temp 25.8c at Crowdy head (NSW) a few days ago :o
[[ MHL NSW Offshore Sea Surface Temperature ]] (http://new.mhl.nsw.gov.au/data/realtime/sst/)
bob10
25th April 2015, 09:32 PM
Well, I suppose it depends on which site you open. Personally, I don't know. Bob


How the moon affects the weather | Clive Best (http://clivebest.com/blog/?p=5986)
ramblingboy42
26th April 2015, 08:04 AM
maybe a better mathematician can help here.

I'm not a good mathematician by any means
Mick_Marsh
26th April 2015, 10:48 AM
Well, I suppose it depends on which site you open. Personally, I don't know. Bob


How the moon affects the weather | Clive Best (http://clivebest.com/blog/?p=5986)
Interesting.
What professional organisations does he belong to? What peer reviewed journals is his research published in?
I can find little information on this fellow other than an on line blog, the website you linked to.
bob10
26th April 2015, 06:43 PM
Interesting.
What professional organisations does he belong to. What peer reviewed journals is his research published in?
I can find little information on this fellow other than an on line blog, the website you linked to.


Oh, Mick, dig further. I admire your tenacity. Bob
Chenz
27th April 2015, 05:56 PM
Why go to this level of investigation when we have a climate guru who is without a cushy government paid portfolio at present and is sure to provide top notch and credible interpretations of the current earth tilting events.:o
http://imagizer.imageshack.us/v2/640x480q90/673/s44DTa.jpg (https://imageshack.com/i/ips44DTaj)
bob10
27th April 2015, 06:16 PM
Why go to this level of investigation when we have a climate guru who is without a cushy government paid portfolio at present and is sure to provide top notch and credible interpretations of the current earth tilting events.:o
http://imagizer.imageshack.us/v2/640x480q90/673/s44DTa.jpg (https://imageshack.com/i/ips44DTaj)
Don't know him. Bob
bob10
27th April 2015, 06:30 PM
But I know of this fellow. Bob


Prominent people (http://www.naa.gov.au/collection/publications/papers-and-podcasts/prominent-people/inigo-jones.aspx)
350RRC
27th April 2015, 09:17 PM
But I know of this fellow. Bob


Prominent people (http://www.naa.gov.au/collection/publications/papers-and-podcasts/prominent-people/inigo-jones.aspx)

Jeez........ I thought it was going to be Jesus.

DL
bob10
28th April 2015, 08:19 AM
Jeez........ I thought it was going to be Jesus.

DL


:p Note quite, but he was a prophet, all be it a weather one, Bob
bob10
29th April 2015, 08:09 AM
Interesting.
What professional organisations does he belong to? What peer reviewed journals is his research published in?
I can find little information on this fellow other than an on line blog, the website you linked to.


Found this on his website, clicked on " about", wasn't hard, Bob


About | Clive Best (http://clivebest.com/blog/?page_id=2)