Rain

[JDNSW]

Well, we got 10mm overnight in two thunderstorms - the first just after I went to bed, the second around 4.30am - consequently feeling rather grumpy this morning.

This is the highest rainfall in a single fall since June, and a total of 38mm in the last four months - nothing to write home about. The 10mm will hardly lay the dust for more than a day.

John

[numpty]

Just started to rain here John, but don't expect to get much. A number of severe storms have moved/are moving through Ipswich and Brisbane with occasional heavy falls. Some places are copping it and others not.

[JohnE]

Jd
may be time to get the mower working, we have had a heap overnight with more coming.
Past 2 days 4 inches via my guages.
I know the north coast is a bit far from you but, i think the state forcast is for rain round your way.


john

[Slunnie]

Excellent. The pastures will love it.

[87County]

those forecasts are getting better ?

http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/watl/rainfall/pme.jsp

looks like more on the way too :)

[Outback 1]

19 mm overnight and 2.5 mm today:Dthat makes 41.5 mm in the last 2 days :D the tanks nearly full:D

[JDNSW]

Jd
.........
I know the north coast is a bit far from you but, i think the state forcast is for rain round your way.


john

They keep forecasting that the next event will be the one with rain in it - and this has been the case for the last four months - we get rain OK: 0.5, 1.5, 4, 2.5, 0.5, 8, 0.5, 5.5, 0.5, 4.5, 0.5, 10mm - that is all our registrations for the last four months, during which time there was going to be "significant rainfall" at least half a dozen times. I'm afraid that I have to conclude that the forecasters are optimists.

John

[master chief]

Hello John,i got those two storms here to,the lightning show was unreal!.but i only got 1.50mm out of both of them:(.i have two dry dams and only one with good water in it,but everyone else around here is in the same boat.its hard to take when you see these huge black clouds overhead,but they dont want to let the water go:mad:.but all you can do is:).

[CraigE]

We had 50mm over the weekend. October monthly average already exceeded. Hope some gets to the mid north of WA and the East coast.

[Lotz-A-Landies]

19 mm overnight and 2.5 mm today:Dthat makes 41.5 mm in the last 2 days :D the tanks nearly full:DMust be a very small tank!

Not that it is as important as the people out west, however I have a 4,400litre tank in the backyard, used for washing the clothes, washing the car, filling the spar and watering the lawn. Anyway a couple of weeks ago the temporary overflow device to direct the water into the sump to be pumped out to the storm-water failed and I lost about 4,000 litres. Even though we have had a couple or three heavy downpours in the last few weeks, I'm still only holding about 2,000 litres.

The car is quite dirty at the moment.

Diana

[Bushie]

I'm afraid that I have to conclude that the forecasters are optimists.

John

Unfortunately I think they are driven by liabilities :(

After speaking to a couple of the forecasters from the Sydney office, the BoM copped a bit after the 1998 Sydney to Hobart. I think there was a change in direction - If it looks like theres a slim chance it might happen they now forecast it. Unfortunately I think it's becoming a bit "cry wolf".

At work we use the special fire weather forecasts a lot (strangely :)) generally they are pretty much spot on, but during major fire activity then theres a tendency to be very conservative with the forecasts, and we get wind/temp predictions that are probably much closer to the worse case and not the most likely case.

Generally though I reckon our forecasters are doing a great job and forecast reliability is improving all the time, as the guys from the bureau said though a couple of degrees shift in the wind can make the difference between it raining in Nowra or Newcastle.

Martyn

[JDNSW]

I don't know if there is anything in it, but my father always reckoned that forecasts improved dramatically in the early 1940s with the demands of military aviation in the war - and then dropped to almost pre-war levels after 1945 as observers and forecasters' working hours (and probably motivation) dropped back to peacetime levels. And never regained the accuracy they had during the war.

One of the interesting features we have on the ABC local radio every Friday morning is an interview with the man responsible for forecasting weather for the Siding Spring Observatory. He weighs up the various available forecasts, including ones not available to the public, such as the firefighting ones, and gives his estimate of the most likely outcome. But he does not pretend to any accuracy past about two days.

John

[RoverOne]

No rain here for awhile of any consequence, starting to dry out, rains in Orange forgets to head north.

Last lot of water bought three weeks ago @ $250 for 17,000 litres, fifth buy in 2 years.

Austar weather channel forecast for rain over four days soon...we'll see.

[JDNSW]

13mm overnight, started about the time I went to bed. Even looks like there could be some more today.

John

[JDNSW]

Maybe I spoke too early - the sun's shining now!

John

[rick130]

29.5mm o/night here. We're so lucky that we had pretty consistent falls from March through to August, with 177mm in June proving invaluable for spring and getting our little Pages River (a Hunter tributary) flowing for the first time in 18 months. September with only 5mm and the wind was a bit scary, but 49mm last month helped, and now this rain o/night is a blessing. It may even get the river flowing a little again.
It helps to be tucked into the lee side of the range, it really encourages any moisture present to be liberated.

Hope you get some more out your way JD.

[Outback 1]

about 35mm in the gauge when i got home on thursday :D
then we got another 65mm thursday night:D
thats about 140mm in the last week,even the dams looking good:D

[JohnE]

Jd
its stopped here at the moment, but there is more to come, my frogs must have been singing for 'your' rain

13 is a good start point, hope you get more



john

[Captain_Rightfoot]

You need me down there to visit the Zoo again John. That should get the rain out :o:eek::D

[JohnE]

Well JD,
i hope your getting rain now, the frogs are singing again.




john

[rick130]

Well JD,
i hope your getting rain now, the frogs are singing again.




john

lol, just started here again JE. :D

[JDNSW]

No more here yet - as much blue as there is cloud.

John

[shorty943]

Let's not forget the wind that brings the rain. And launches my bathroom roof out into the paddock.:mad:

There is a photo of it in my reply in the National Weather thread.:D

Ahh, what can you do. You ever tried to shower with out getting wet? So to speak.
Damned unpleasant showering in the rain.
Chuck a tarp over it until the wind dies down is about all really.:D

Then I might go out with the front end loader and see if there is anything left to salvage. Or just build me a bigger stronger bathroom roof.:twisted:

[ellard]

Hi there all

We have been receiving huge down pours in the southern Flinders Rangers over the past couple of weeks as well - and its good to hear others are getting it as well.

For example last week we had falls of up to 100 mm in one hour and yesterday another 42 mm in less than a day.

We need the rain but not all at once please.

All the best

Wayne

[JDNSW]

Just had another 11mm - in about five minutes, together with thunder, lightning and strong winds.

John

[JDNSW]

This morning there is another 20mm in the gauge, giving a total of 31 for 24hours or 44 for the whole rain event so far. Best we have had since June, and what is more, greater than the total for July, August, September and October. Everything looking nice and damp, hope there has not been too much erosion.

John

[Bush65]

Let's not forget the wind that brings the rain. And launches my bathroom roof out into the paddock.:mad:

There is a photo of it in my reply in the National Weather thread.:D

Ahh, what can you do. You ever tried to shower with out getting wet? So to speak.
Damned unpleasant showering in the rain.
Chuck a tarp over it until the wind dies down is about all really.:D

Then I might go out with the front end loader and see if there is anything left to salvage. Or just build me a bigger stronger bathroom roof.:twisted:
Rain is a good product, but packaged badly.

[rick130]

Rain is a good product, but packaged badly.

:lol2:

[Lotz-A-Landies]

Rain is a good product, but packaged badly.
:Rolling::Rolling::Rolling:

Also delivered to the correct address very badly! :mad:

Last night once again millions and possibly billions of litres of rain was delivered to Sydney and the coast. Almost all of it went into storm-water drains and out to sea.

Locally we received about 54 mm and my tank is now filled to overflowing.

But what really annoys me is that the Sydney Catchment Authority :nazilock: is planning new and better ways to steal water from the Shoalhaven River catchment and deliver it to urban enrichment, while the people of the Monaro and Goulburn where the water comes from are suffering the longest drought in memory.

Diana

[4bee]

31.5 mm for all of Oct.

25 mm & only 3 days into Nov.

But a big high is coming, so it looks like no more for this week.

[Scott]

Hi all
We have had nearly 5 inches in the last week, ie 125mm at the farm, Inverell. 1st rain to fall in 7 weeks so its a blessing. Althought I had started to plant Sorghum just after it started and it will have to be resown, too much rain on it. But its wonderfull for the pasture, and cattle prices I hope that the rain is widespread.
Cheers all
Scott

[master chief]

Hello all,good news here,i have had 72mm in the last three days my tanks are full and the dams have come up a fair bit.very happy:D.hope other dry areas are getting the same!.:cool:

[ellard]

Hi there

We are simular in the Flinders Rangers - about 5" in the past week.

We are only 40 km out of Port Augusta - and we are greatful we missed the storm they had last night- 55mm in 20 minutes (flooded).

But they are forcasting more next week - looking good but the poor farmers around our area still havent been able to get into the paddocks (thats farming)

All our hays in the shed and dry.......

All the best

Wayne

[JohnE]

I'm glad its raining where its needed,
we are just about rained out here, well not really missed the afternoon thunderstorm yesterday and had a shower this pm, not much relief after 2 days of + 30 temps with probably 98% humidity, just standing on the veranda watching the grass grow makes you sweat.
the ground around here has reached saturation point, an hour shower ( well a bit more than a shower it pelted down) on friday afternoon created enough runoff to turn the lismore golf driving range into a lake.

the water is even oozing from the cracks in the road,


john

no frogs singing tonight so I guess it may be dry for some.

[JohnE]

Please send some this way

The grass is starting to crackle when you walk on it an the cracks are starting to grow :( Damned hot today here... like you say, you sweat watching the grass grow...except its not growing here.

Let the girls (cows) out of the paddock into the front yard today...they had a ball in the long grass out front. Their paddock is slowly turning into a dust bowl :(


the only dust i get here is from sweeping the front verands ( yes I sweep it)


my girls don;t know which grass to eat, its all so long and green and they are getting sloppy because of it,
its yucky and the dogs like it more to roll in.
I'll point the singing frogs your way.


john

[Tote]

we got 4mm Thursday Night, 11mm Friday night 35mm Saturday and 1mm last night, it's amazing how things have greened up in a couple of days.
Regards,
Tote

[JohnE]

thats good its doesn't take much, now you want a few days of good soaking rain, to reach the water table.

still cloudy up here, so i guess there is more to come



john

[Dave110]

we've had enough! 125mm over the last 2 days rising rivers to minor and major flood levels Avon 6.5 m, Thompson 5.5m and Macalister 6.7 m Lake Glenmaggie 55,000 ml per day over the spillway! we are high and dry but Tinamba and Newry their second flood in 2 months!

[JohnE]

I take it that everyone including JD is rain affected hence the quiet,
have been watching the grass grow again, its up 4" from the weekend.( how do I know, because i mowed on saturday,ride on around the shed and mower around the pool.) the little dog is disappearing in the grass!!
its been bucketing down here for about 18 hrs.

maybe a good time to get the slasher down into the house paddock and do the weeds, it'll regrow before I know it!!!


john

[Captain_Rightfoot]

It's been raining off and on in Brisbane all morning. :)

[JDNSW]

I take it that everyone including JD is rain affected hence the quiet,......
john

Nope! No rain since Saturday night here. I am amazed by how quickly all traces of it have disappeared - probably reflects the lack of soil moisture - it just soaked straight in. There were a few puddles, but even the mud in the bottom of most of them is crumbly now. The steady 25kt easterly has probably helped sry things out as well. Rain or at least thunderstorms are forecast for the rest of the week, and today I actually saw a few spots on the windscreen driving over to next door's, but it didn't even get close to needing the wipers. It has been mostly overcast, although the sun was sort of out for a lot of today.

John

[rick130]

we've had probably close to 1/2" here today (started at 5 this morning) just good soaking, steady rain.

It was funny yesterday on a Polo place 25km east of here (just up the road from where we had been living up till recently) watching the weather slowly come in from the north east over the range for several hours. It seemed to just hang on the range, then slowly made it's way down the valley.

I had to visit the grooms bunkhouses about an hour after it started (yes, they are all young female backpacker types, and I was escorted by one of the managers so they wouldn't mob me :cool: ..........as if :rolleyes: ) and need the centre diff locked to drive the 1/2km back to the main road.

Driving back home, popped up over the small range between the two valleys and it was bone dry this side.

[googe]

had 2 days of nice drizzle here,just spread some lawn seed today :D keep drizzlin please i dont wont a clump of grass at the bottom of the padock :o , whats everyones tanks like ours is nearly full :D

Greg


:burnrubber:

[George130]

Thankfully very little since Saturday:).
All I need now is it to hold off until after the weekend. Once the work is done it can rain to it's hearts content.

The few hundred liters added to the rain on Saturday means it's still very muddy but the puddles are starting dry.

[JohnE]

JD, i am sorry to hear nothing has come your way yet, hopefully it will,
ricks valley rain sounds the same as here good soaking rain, but, we are well and truly soaked, haven't been down to look, but my spring and well must be flowing at a rapid rate and my sprnig fed dam overflowing.
well the overnight has been constant, it is damp really damp outside,
all tanks are full and overflpwing and think my drain frogs have moved to higher ground.
the bonus with all this rain is it brings all the creatures to the surface, the bad ones the cane toads,have been flattening a few on the road into town, haven't found any around the house yet.
the bad part is the green frogs are sitting on the road too, its like driving through a chicane trying to dodge them.
may your boots get muddy.



john

[JDNSW]

This morning has dawned nice and sunny, although there is a fair bit of cloud about. Doesn't really look much like rain, however.

John

[JohnE]

JD sorry to hear that, would have believed something was coming your way,
just ducked out and took some snaps, ( it is the closest I can offer you by way of water from the sky) its foggy now

towards the house paddock, the catcher shows how far i got on saturday
http://i178.photobucket.com/albums/w248/JohnE_1/HomePhotos294.jpg

towards the shed, the pool is up a bit

http://i178.photobucket.com/albums/w248/JohnE_1/HomePhotos295.jpg


this is something I found, in a paddock down the road,
think its a landy

https://www.aulro.com/afvb/


get those wellies out I think it is going to rain

john

[rick130]

forecast for today is heavy showers, but nothing is showing on the radar yet, and it appears to be breaking up.

John E, when we visited the sister-in-law in December and again at Easter we couldn't believe the constant rain you lot receive. At the time we were well and truly drought stricken, having to dig holes in the river bed for water and the little showers that we had while on the north coast were great. I was just helping outside in it and getting soaked, it was that good.

[JohnE]

forecast for today is heavy showers, but nothing is showing on the radar yet, and it appears to be breaking up.

John E, when we visited the sister-in-law in December and again at Easter we couldn't believe the constant rain you lot receive. At the time we were well and truly drought stricken, having to dig holes in the river bed for water and the little showers that we had while on the north coast were great. I was just helping outside in it and getting soaked, it was that good.


I know what you mean , up here they talk about drought and everything is still green, that usually means it hasn't rained for a couple of months.



john

[rick130]

I know what you mean , up here they talk about drought and everything is still green, that usually means it hasn't rained for a couple of months.



john


yep, SIL got me a beauty one time, asking how the water situation was and commiserating, saying they too were in drought "....it hasn't rained for a week and a half...!" gave me a good belly laugh at the time.:D

<edit> I'm just glad I'm no longer on the farm and worrying about stock. I became thoroughly sick and tired of destroying stock during the worst of '03. Going back to my trade isn't all bad.

[JDNSW]

JD sorry to hear that, would have believed something was coming your way,
just ducked out and took some snaps, ( it is the closest I can offer you by way of water from the sky) its foggy now
....

john

In the spirit of your photos I attach a photo of my lawn.

John

[Pedro_The_Swift]

been raining here for two days straight,,

my vege box has gone crazy,, I swear you can see the tomato plants growing:eek:

[JDNSW]

Still no rain here, although it now does at least look a bit like it could - and I see Dubbo has had 0.8mm since 0900 today.

John

[Relay]

My driveway is 4wd access only...again...

50mm since Friday. Starting to get over working wet.

[JohnE]

In the spirit of your photos I attach a photo of my lawn.

John


JD i m horrified, when you said dry i didn;t imagine it was dry dry,
have to find a semi naked rain dancing nymph and send her your way.
just to add insult to injury I got out this arvo between showers and slashed the house paddock, should recover in a couple of days.

Mate i'll keep my fingers crossed that you get some of that good soaking stuff.


john

[JDNSW]

JD i m horrified, when you said dry i didn;t imagine it was dry dry,
have to find a semi naked rain dancing nymph and send her your way.
just to add insult to injury I got out this arvo between showers and slashed the house paddock, should recover in a couple of days.

Mate i'll keep my fingers crossed that you get some of that good soaking stuff.


john

I'm leaving for Perth on Monday - probably bucket down while I'm away. Well, I can hope, anyway. Still nothing here.

John

[Slunnie]

You'll have to move closer to me. I have the knack of making rain... especially when camping and it's not wanted. I am between Orange and Molong with this taken about 1 month ago.

https://www.aulro.com/afvb/images/imported/2007/11/254.jpg

https://www.aulro.com/afvb/images/imported/2007/11/255.jpg

[George130]

Well I'm happy. Very little rain the week. I might even have the pipe work done this weekend.

JD hope you get rain your way soon.

[JohnE]

Another morning the same as yesterday, again been bucketing down all night with a stiff southerly blowing, I know because the veranda is wet, and the fog is rolling in again

http://i178.photobucket.com/albums/w248/JohnE_1/HomePhotos296.jpg

sorry to you guys down south the wind is blowing in the wrong direction.
predicted rain all day today again, may get the dam paddock slashed if there is a break, or get under the macca trees and mulch.( works well when its wet)

JD I hope you get your feet wet


john

[JDNSW]

I won't bother posting another photo - its the same as yesterday. No rain, partial cloud, but doesn't look like rain. Late yesterday it did look like it for a while, but came to nothing. Forecast is the same as yesterday - showers and storms.

John

[JDNSW]

Well, we did have some rain this morning. While I was driving down to the village to get the mail. Just enough to make sure I got wet opening the gates. Total = 3mm, and the sun is shining again.

At least the 2a leaked not a drop, although the demisters did not cope too well after I got back in wet.

John

[JohnE]

JD
thats a start hopefully more to come, just watched the news they reckoned we got 3mm here for the day, more like 30 by my gauge.

i'll try to find my frogs and send you some, better still Black dave would have driven through the down pours in ballina and the like it may follow him down to you.

and had a couple of hours of dry yesterday so i slashed the house paddock, got rid of a lot of the residual weeds and the scotch thistle this pm it didn;t even look like i had done it, sorry
john

[mcrover]

Last weekend we had 52mm at the golfcourse on fri/sat and sunday, some spots in Gippsland had over 100mm I heard.

Rangieman and freinds nearly got a bit stuck in a river crossing trying to get out, one of them (Defender tray back) had to go out the long way as it was getting too nasty to cross.

[Bushie]

We've had 150mm so far this week, roughly at the rate of 30mm a day. Generally good soaking rain dam levels went up slightly (0.4%). Our local dam received 105mm but is still 11m below full level, still that's better than the 19m below full last year.

By my records this is the 5th wettest year out of the last 20 (mainly due to Junes rainfall)


Martyn

[JDNSW]

By my records, the year to date is the third driest in the thirteen years I have lived here - last year was the driest by 90mm, and 2004 drier by 30mm. The wettest year (1998) had well over double the amount this year.

John

[JohnE]

Jd
guess the night brought you nothing,
have just pumped out about 4" out of the pool,
I won;t repost
but the photo from the other morning , well its the same again today been pidling down all night again.

so much for outdoor activities( translated need to do some fencing and stuff)


may your mud get wet sooon


john

[Bushie]

Nice and dry here today, quick shower earlier (around 8:00am) but been dry, sunny since.

Nice day for some skirmish, had the crap shot out of me today (mates 50th) now starting to ache :(:(

Martyn