One previous C-130 firefighting crash (not Australia) was the result of structural failure, and there has been at least one other firefighting crash in Australia that resulted from structural failure. But I am guessing that other circumstances are more common, such as "controlled flight into terrain" ( loss of situational awareness or sudden low visibility at low level) or "sudden descent due to air movements".
If it was structural failure this should soon be identified, but the reason for this is likely to take longer.



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