They're bad, but they're there to make a profit. Their shareholders demand it. Unfortunately, the commoners like you and I have no option but to go to the bank. The writing (for increased interest rates) was(is) on the wall for at least two years.
The governments of most western countries started borrowing (huge amounts of) money to stimulate their ailing economies (ours included). Add to this record levels of existing private borrowing (for home, business and consumer loans) and you have a (large) increase in demand for money, and no increase in supply (as there are not many savers).
So there are two possiblities for (commercial) banks to meet demand, both resulting in higher interest rates over the medium term.
1.) Offer additional incentives for people to save (i.e. by giving better interest rates) - this costs the banks more money - The cost of funding goes up, therefore interest rates the banks charge go up.
2.) Borrow money from the reserve bank. When commercial banks "borrow" money from the reserve bank, the reserve (effectively) creates it out of thin air. It needs a 10% deposit (part of your house deposit) and an obligation that someone will pay it back (your loan contract with the commercial bank), and this new money is created. It gets added to the existing money supply. (The genious concept of fractional banking - and by genious, I mean genious for the banks (but thats another story alltogether)). By "printing" more money to meet demand, the supply of money is increased. The increased supply is chasing the same amount of goods, resulting in people willing and able to pay more for the goods they want. (Just think of the housing market in the last decade). This causes that dirty little word called inflation (devaluation of money). Interest rates must always be kept above inflation, therefore the reserve bank has no choice but to increase their interest rates, and this is then passed on by the banks.
The measure of "inflation" is based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and considers a weighted average of current household expenditure on a range of productsand services (i.e a standard basket of goods). (It excludes house prices but includes average home loan repayments). The CPI also includes a significant proportion of goods (and services) made outside of Australia.
The inflation in Australia is currently "artificially" low due to the strong dollar, making all imported products and services significantly cheaper then they would otherwise be.
When the AUS dollar (inevitably) starts depreciating against the currencies of our major trading partners, the CPI will increase, which will (inevitably) lead to higher RBA interest rates and higher commercial bank rates. I hope I'm wrong, but I see more "rates pain" on the horizon.
*takes Nostradamus hat off*... now if you'll excuse me, I have to rejoin the wage slave line (a.k.a. reality) and get back to work to be able to afford my morgage repayments!![]()


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