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Thread: Climate Change and our Land of Fire, Flood and Drought.

  1. #921
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiscoMick View Post
    About half of bush fires are lit by humans I read, so let's apply the carbon tax to anyone convicted of lighting a bushfire. [emoji1]
    Better still why not simply turn anyone convicted of arson into carbon
    You only get one shot at life, Aim well

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  2. #922
    DiscoMick Guest
    Pretty sure that's illegal, but I understand your feeling that way.

  3. #923
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    In my former life in Air Conditioning here I could be flat chat in September (Royal Show time) & in other years could have gone bust waiting for work until Jan or Feb. New work & Service just about non-existent. If it ain't hot people don't use their A/C.

    Just sayin'

  4. #924
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    Quote Originally Posted by 4bee View Post
    In my former life in Air Conditioning here I could be flat chat in September (Royal Show time) & in other years could have gone bust waiting for work until Jan or Feb. New work & Service just about non-existent. If it ain't hot people don't use their A/C.

    Just sayin'
    ...never owned one.....

  5. #925
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiscoMick View Post
    Pretty sure that's illegal, but I understand your feeling that way.
    Catch them in the act and roll a burning log on top of them, Nobody will ever know
    You only get one shot at life, Aim well

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  6. #926
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    Quote Originally Posted by vnx205 View Post
    .....

    A failure to acknowledge the other possible reasons for the rejection of the Libya record suggests that you do not have an open mind on the subject.
    On the contrary .. mind is fully open to the possibility that the recording was incorrect.
    90 years later tho?
    Were they alseep for those 90 years?
    Why in this era?
    What I'm questioning is why such a monumental timeframe between recording and final realisation that it may have been incorrectly recorded?

    Same with the ACORN2 anomaly. Why do they now realise that there could be discrepancies with the manually recorded data .. NOW!
    Why not closer to the dates of when they began recording data electronically.

    Had the reanalysis of the Libyan record been done in the 1950's .. or even later .. would never have come into question.
    But post a warming globe era? .. when it smells like ****, it is!

    When you see garbage written the way they've done ... this isn't science.

    Although personally unable to investigate the extreme's reliability at the time it occurred, Amilcare Fántoli, the chief of the Libyan section of Servizio Meteorologico, examined the available evidence in some detail (Fántoli 1954Fántoli 1958). He concluded that, although there was an unusually violent and persistent ghibli, the most probable maximum at El Azizia on 13 September 1922 was 56°C, not 58°C. Fántoli's conclusion was significantly influenced by the lack of excessively high temperatures at surrounding stations.
    Some research on the issue.(which I've already done)What they're trying to say is that the microclimate didn't really support a potential temperature of 58°C, but that the more likely temp high may have been 56°C!
    Really? .. that's their 'evidence'.

    Apparently so. But their scientific assertions contain more "probabilities", "potentials", "maybes" and "we think" conjectures .. obviously good science is best served with those kinds of premises. They obviously have data to prove their "probable" science ... so where is it?They seem to have data that shows that 58 wasn't a likely max temp on the day at the time .. so what were the other relevant data recorded at the site close to that specific time?If you're foolish enough to believe their pathetic "probably" explanation go for it.

    what distance relationship to these 'surrounding stations' to the site in question? >40 klms. That's to the one site. The other two sites are more like 80klms away.
    In what direction? South .. away from the coast, where those other 'nearby' stations record their numbers.
    Aziziya is inland by 40klms, receives hot ghibli winds regularly, receives regular 50+ degree temps around that time of year(more so in Aug)

    So what they're saying is that because a 'normal' high temp in Sept is more like 40-45, that it's unlikely that it had reached 58 in Sep 1922.
    And that in Sep 1923 when it recorded a maximum of 54.8 .. that this is more likely!
    What about August 1923 when it maxed at 56°C .. why is this reading not under contention?
    This idiot argument basically diminishes any 'extreme' temp recording .. ever, anywhere.
    Because it's unlikely to get this hot or cold .. then the data must be corrupted in some way.
    Why don't they question the max recorded temp in Sep 1941? of all the obviously corrupted data, this one is massively out of bounds .. by an lower range 14°C, and an averaged out value of 16° for the time of year.
    Tell 'ya why, because it's the lowest maximum recorded in the area at that time of year.
    They won't remove any of the lower range data, because that's not conducive to their warming globe ideology .. and we can't have that.

    Ero, all climate data recorded since data capture began are null and void if they're out of the normal range!

    These people are morons .. and you want us to think they're scientists?

    I know the area, I know the issue, I know the data(in my limited ability of what can be found easily online) .. I also know that they're argument for their case that it's an invalid data point is so deep into the pile of BS .. you can only laugh at their level of stupidity.

    Do note too .. approx 40klms from where I live, on the day of Feb 7 2009, we received our hottest ever day. I remember it clearly they reckon it was 46 in Melb(the record), my closest weather station recorded 45, but 40klms away it was high 30's on the whole. Roughly 8°C difference.
    Is this Melb record also invalid? If not, why not. How to they know EXACTLY .. that the data is right. How do they not know it was actually 44° in Melb, when all other areas 40-ish klms away were abotu 8°C down.

    THAT'S how stupid the WMO argument for Libya is. They don't know.. hence why so many 'possibles', 'probablys', and 'maybes' in their analysis.
    Arthur.

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  7. #927
    DiscoMick Guest
    Just reread post 916. It's all there.

  8. #928
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    Climate change is a thing but whether humans contribute enough to matter is the question. I find it hard to find reliable data that doesnt conflict, for example one estimate is human output is 29billion tonnes but average of 10t per person times 7bill is 70 billion tonnes, then there is volcanoes and live stock. should the percantage of c02 in the atmosphere be changing?, I remember something like 78% nitrogen in the atmosphere, what are we down to 67%, 50% now, is that actually changing?

    I also worry about the hidden agendas behind climate change(not global warming anymore cause even if it freezes they are still right) only studies confirming the trendy theories being funded so of course thousands agree and not many disagree because they aren't funded.

    And lastly I prefer to err on the side of caution but even if we saved more carbon than using it china and india would still produce enough to stop any reversal action and sending us broke trying to set a good example doesn't make sense to me.

  9. #929
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    Oh and as far as renwables go I am still skeptical of lifespan/output to energy to create and transport costs. Now our free energy wind farms cost alot to produce and the non biodegradable fibreglass blades becomes landfill, so after 20yrs each blade takes 40m3 to bury.....there are tens of thousands of these.

    I would be interested to see how accurate the studies calculating mining, manufacture, transport, warehousing, sales and promotions, delivery and installation of a domestic solar installation really is. They say payback for manufacture is 2 years but is that just mining and production or does it include all the steps before it gets to your house?

    Edit: also added to that should be the energy costs for all of the above processes mining etc for the accessories to install the said solar system, the extruded aluminium rails brackets electrical cabling the electronic system that runs it.

    Its easy to twist figures and statistics to suit an agenda.

  10. #930
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mickyg View Post
    Climate change is a thing but whether humans contribute enough to matter is the question. I find it hard to find reliable data that doesnt conflict, for example one estimate is human output is 29billion tonnes but average of 10t per person times 7bill is 70 billion tonnes, then there is volcanoes and live stock. should the percantage of c02 in the atmosphere be changing?, I remember something like 78% nitrogen in the atmosphere, what are we down to 67%, 50% now, is that actually changing?
    ......
    The amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is less than 1%, and is usually quoted as "parts per million" (ppm). Current amount is around 400ppm, for example, it was measured at 413ppm or 0.0413% at the Mauna Loa Observatory in April this year. It has increased from around 0.028% at the start of the industrial revolution, and was 0.03% when I was at school. It does vary a little from place to place. Obviously this has not significantly affected the concentration of other gases in the atmosphere, as we are talking about concentrations of less than 0.1%.

    There is no question that the measured concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere correlates well with consumption of fossil fuels (industry has well documented statistics) and at least to some extent with agricultural activity such as land clearing (less easy to put numbers on).

    The behaviour of CO2 as a greenhouse gas is also very well established, depending only on pretty basic physics, so there is no room for doubt that increasing the CO2 concentration is increasing the temperature of the earth.

    Where the science gets a bit harder is in determining the length of time that the CO2 remains in the atmosphere and what happens to it and what are the side effects of the temperature rise, and the timescale involved.

    It is fairly obvious that the major sink for the extra CO2 will be the oceans (they represent most of the earth's surface), for example, but how effective they are depends on a lot of factors such as currents and vertical movement of water, as well as the chemical and biological processes that remove the CO2 from the water as carbonates. These depend on a lot of factors that are not well known.

    Most publicity is given to the 'side effects' of this rise in temperature. The most obvious one is a rise in sea level, the result of the melting of the polar ice caps and on land glaciers, and probably at least as important, the thermal expansion of the liquid water. The rate at which this will happen is very hard to calculate, because there are a lot of unknowns, and it is going to take a long time for the vast mass of the ocean to warm, but there is no question about whether it is happening - sea level rises are relatively easy to measure, and have been being measured for centuries. Local effects of land subsidence and isostatic rebound from the last ice age affect the local figures, but the worldwide picture is pretty clear. Sea level has risen worldwide by 15-20cm since the start of the twentieth century.

    Current calculations of the sea level rise to the end of this century vary from one to two metres or a little more (largely depends on how you think the warmer water will circulate into the ocean depths). Since a large proportion of the world's population lives within a couple of metres of sea level, this will lead to huge social disruption.

    The effects of the warming weather on climate are a second order effect, but it is clear that there will be major effects. We are continuing to find that weather in this country is more dependent than we thought on the temperature of the surrounding water in the Indian, southern and Pacific Oceans. There is no doubt that these temperatures, and what is more the distribution of them, is changing, and this will inevitably change our weather. Because our weather depends on these three oceans rather than a single ocean (e.g Europe), these changes are perhaps more unpredictable than most other places.

    I conclude that while it is impossible to definitely attribute the current fires global warming, the drought that has led to them being so bad is just the sort of thing that would be expected as the ocean temperatures change. And I would emphasise that the measured rise in sea levels can leave no doubt that ocean temperatures have risen.
    John

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