
Originally Posted by
vnx205
A lot of the posts here support my theory about why injuries and deaths have not decreased as much as might be expected given how much safer modern cars are.
Actually it's not really my theory. I read it years ago in a fairly authoritative publication on road safety.
It's all about perceived risk.
Everyone has a level of risk that they consider acceptable.
If someone was still driving a Morris Minor 1000 for example, they would allow more time for the car to accelerate and slow down and would travel at a sedate pace around corners.
Put them in a car with more power, better brakes and better handling and they drive in a way that they feel gives then the same margin for error and the same level of risk.
We know we have better brakes now, so we travel closer to the car in front.
Add to this the fact that young males and an increasing number of young females are actively seeking some excitement in their lives and they are increasingly using their car as a way of getting that adrenalin rush and crashes become more likely.
Another factor is that with more modern cars, things change much more rapidly than they did in my Austin A40. Things used to happen gradually, even tediously in my A40. A couple of seconds of acceleration produced a barely perceptible change in speed. In a modern car a second or so of acceleration means a big increase in speed and because it is quieter and smoother, the increase is probably less obvious than it was in the A40. So things can get out of hand quite quickly. It's not just about speed; it's also about the rate of change of speed.
A lot of that probably boils down to attitude.
Too many people have the attitude that they can drive as they do because:
1. They are young and have quick reflexes.
2. They are old and experienced.
3. Their car is equipped with all the latest ESP, ABS, TC and so on.
4. Their car is packed with safety features.
5. They have more rights on the road than other drivers.
6. Arriving safely at their destination is a lower priority than demonstrating their superiority over every other driver on the road on the way there.
While better training and tougher testing might help, it will never overcome the problem of having the wrong attitude.
While generally I agree with everything you say, a couple of points -
1. Despite perceptions, road travel is actually safer than it has ever been.
2. The main reason that "injuries and deaths have not decreased as much as might be expected given how much safer modern cars are" is that the driver and roads are much more important than the car - and as you say, people drive to a perceived level of safety. Make the car safer, and they cut the safety margin. Probably why so few accidents are due to unroadworthy cars - the driver compensates for the poor steering, bald tyres etc. Another factor is that modern cars insulate you from your surroundings much more than even twenty years ago.
3. NSW has all sorts of silly restrictions for new drivers on (petrol) turbos and V8s. For example a new driver can't drive a V8 Stage 1, but can drive a Defender with much more power. The reason they could not just specify a maximum power/weight ratio, is that any figure that would make any difference would exclude virtually every new car sold today, certainly all the popular family cars.
4. The problem is not driver training - it is education about attitude. And a surprisingly large proportion of young drivers are in fact pretty responsible - you just don't notice them!
John
John
JDNSW
1986 110 County 3.9 diesel
1970 2a 109 2.25 petrol
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