Hi There,
I'm impressed, I agree with everything you've said how could I disagree you are right. When I was looking at buying a Land Rover, in this case typically a 300 Tdi which is what I based the 120k on I was looking at the engine as a component, rather than each individual part of the engine.
I started on the vehicle, when the vehicle didn't perform its function which was to move under its own power in a forward or backward direction. Then analysing what major component failed, other major units had suspensions. The engine came out as one major component then split this down into major components and did the same exercise, the head as a major component came out as a failed item as you mention for various reasons, doing a bit of an RCFA you can come up with a whole raft of reasons the head failed as you point out, one being the gasket, why did the gasket fail, again could be a multitude of reasons, the thing is the head failed to perform its designed function.
When you get enough samples from all over the place, workshops and phoning people up enquiring about a vehicle, getting some history, assuming that people tell the truth you can put a few samples on the graph. On the results I got when 62.5 % of the population will fail was around the 120k mark. I didn't want to get carried away with to much detail I just wanted to get a number, something to work with, so far to date for me this number seems to still play out.
Very interesting email, you never know we might meet one day.


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