
Originally Posted by
Basil135
Sorry John, but I can't agree.
Any statistics can be manipulated to show what someone wants. You cite that there has been no increase in death rates, and this may be so. However, what about the amount of accidents that have been caused by drivers using mobile phones?
Do you have any figures where this was the single cause of an accident? Remember that just because an accident occurred while using a phone does not mean that this was a cause, and that it would be rare for any accident to have a single cause.
To get this number, the driver involved would have to actually admit they were breaking the law when they were involved....
And on that point, it is illegal to use a hand-held mobile phone, just as it is illegal to drive over .05. Agree or not, it is the law.
It is not a matter of agreement. And it is not a matter of manipulating statistics. The statistics I commented on are readily available, in the Australian case from the ABS.
Can you come up with any explanation that covers the simple fact that despite the increase in mobile phone use, the number of road deaths continues to decrease? And don't tell me that it is because the law stops people from using mobile phones while driving, because anyone with eyes can see them being used by many drivers every day. This was not the case fifteen years ago, when few drivers had mobile phones.
I am not querying the law, but the reason for the law. Real data does not appear to support it.
As to why mobile phone use does not appear to be a major risk factor, I suggest that the most likely reason is that drivers who allow their use to distract them from driving are also going to let other activities distract them from driving, and those who do not allow it don't let other activities distract them either.
Using your comparison of driving over 0.05, the statistics strongly support this; drivers over the limit invariably represent less than 1% in random test campaigns, where drivers over the limit in fatal accidents represent 25-40% of all drivers in fatal accidents. If there was any substantial basis for the idea that phone use causes accidents, you would expect the steady decrease in road deaths to have shown some signs of this effect as phones became widely used, and in particular, the US case where they are banned in some states but not others, you should see the effect. But neither of these show up.
Just to repeat what I said before - I do not use or answer the phone when driving - but I don't think I know anyone else that is as strict about it as I am!
John
John
JDNSW
1986 110 County 3.9 diesel
1970 2a 109 2.25 petrol
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