Horror heatwave blackout fears for Victoria

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Originally Posted by JDNSW

The thing to start worrying about, especially in Victoria, is not so much the prospects of power outages, as the fact that the weather situation over the weekend is looking very like the weather situation on Black Saturday, Ash Wednesday, and Black Friday - with even more people living close to or in bushfire prone areas!

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I agree, definitely the elephant in the room. Fingers crossed.

With temperatures of 50 degrees, could this have been spontaneous combustion?

Truck carrying hay to drought-stricken NSW farmers catches fire on the Nullarbor - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

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Originally Posted by bee utey

And despite SA enjoying a record heat wave with nearly 3GW of consumption currently, it's exporting a few 10's of MW to Victoria. Hope tomorrow goes OK for you guys, SA seems to be hanging on just fine at the moment.

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3.2GW. might reach 3.3GW!

3% reserve power at the moment in SA.

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Originally Posted by bob10

I agree, definitely the elephant in the room. Fingers crossed.

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heat yes, wind no.
no where near windy enough to approach black sat conditions

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Originally Posted by Eevo

heat yes, wind no.
no where near windy enough to approach black sat conditions

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Up to 50k winds tommorow, sounds windy enough for bush fires

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Originally Posted by LRJim

Up to 50k winds tommorow, sounds windy enough for bush fires

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black sat was 120km/h winds.

not saying 50k isn bad, but not the same level as black sat.


in other news, the SA-VIC power island has run out of power and is relying on imports.

sa demand 3,257
sa generation 3,280 99.3% used!


vic demand 9,510
vic generation 8,857


vic importing from tas 478
vic importing from nsw 76
vic importing from sa 45


current power price $14,500.00/MHh

looks like there was load shedding earlier today in SA, about 4pm'ish

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Originally Posted by Eevo

sa demand

[COLOR=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.87)]3,257
sa generation [/COLOR][COLOR=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.87)]3,280 99.3% used!

vic demand [/COLOR][COLOR=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.87)]9,510
vic generation [/COLOR][COLOR=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.87)]8,857

vic importing from tas 478
vic importing from nsw 76
vic importing from sa 45

current power price [/COLOR]

$14,500.00/MHh

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That reads as Vic is importing from NSW, TAS. and SA. SA is not importing as I read it. I will stand corrected.

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Originally Posted by Eevo

heat yes, wind no.
no where near windy enough to approach black sat conditions

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Large bushfires like black Saturday can generate their own winds, AKA firestorm. But I really hope you are right.

Facts / Statistics - - Black saturday -