Thread: Corona Virus

Originally Posted by SBD4

Warning waffle alert
I love maths and trends. My fashion and clothing are NOT trend setting

The start and end of trends is of interest. Time frames and catalyst for Peak and Recovery is a interesting. China's significant decline in infections just roughly matches the seasonal flu or influenza high and lows. It may of course be it as impacted on all available hosts. This is a possible 2nd catalyst. Assuming most of our known needs about a 15 day extensions for the many unknown/unreported cases start is 31/12/19 as China was first reported to the WHO Country Office in China on 31 December 2019. My assumed date will be 16/12/19 "Xinhua Headlines: China's new COVID-19 cases drop to double-digit figures since Jan 21"

The significant reduction of new cases also shows containment and protection equipment production ramp up which China has achieved may translate directly to export of excess key medicines and medical equipment stressing us and other world markets at present. While some under reporting or hubris occurred everywhere tend is where markets react. On hubris-Vic Health Minister is a good example I feel.

Increasing case "Doubling time for the global number of cases (including China): 20 days" this site says it much better than me Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) - Our World in Data

This site points to a wiki recording WHO daily cases Template:2019–20 coronavirus outbreak data/WHO situation reports - Wikipedia

I did some estimations and (assume) China only is already well past peak and in a large decline trend. Confimation of trend assumed date 30 March 2020. 109 days.



Add 100 to 120 days to any countries first case and we may have a proven trend.



Excuse my silly waffle. Have a great day all.

Good thinking Bob.
Calm down and life as normal.
Global financial crisis is happening because of this virus, people are dying, virus in mutating BUT CALM DOWN LIFE AS NORMAL.

Despite the fact a second ENTIRE country is in lockdown while our country is having marty gras, moomba and full house MCG finals.
Government says to keep your distance and not touch others yet how is that possible with such events happening while an epidemic is upon the world?
Australia will get this virus worse than most countries mark my words. Flu season is upon us.

Hell even 3 schools in AUS are now shut down because of spread. Give it a week and ALL SCHOOLS will be shut.

Yea be calm and life as normal, until you get the fever then its the game of life.

Personally I am very disappointed with all the Fear, Panic and selfishness being voiced and displayed by many so called Australians because of this virus.
The way Many Australians are behaving lately is quite frankly "Shameful", What has happened to the "Mateship" "Stoic" and "Toughness" that Real Australians "Used" to be famous for??
Fighting over dunny rolls/stores, Panicking and Running Scared because of this virus is now what the rest of the World associates Australians with.
Shame on us

YES this virus could prove to be quite Nasty But that doesn't mean we have to carry on like pork chops about it.
Maybe its time some people grew a spine and a heart Because from where I am sitting it looks like Many of us are sadly deficient in this department

Wait till Chinese buyers cancel orders of our exports and refuse to pay the bills under a force majeure clause (that spelling may be wrong) about unforeseen circumstances, normally used in wars, then the effects will really hit our economy, which is already struggling. We are likely to go into recession.
If the virus kills 1% of global population (about 100 million) that will dwarf any war too.

A more important question is whether or not anyone has yet produced a T-shirt to mark the event.

By that I mean one that says, "I survived the great 2020 toilet paper shortage."

I wonder who will be the first AULRO member to get Coronavirus?
Maybe we should start a relief fund. We could send a package of essential items to any member who is quarantined for 14 days.
We could contribute essentials to a central supply. I nominate bog rolls, hand sanitizer, beer and a Netflix subscription to fight off boredom.

From none other than the Guardian!
Health experts predicted an influenza death rate, in Australia, of 4,000 people for the 2019 'flu season. Why wasn't there panic then?

This article is more than 9 months old

Flu experts predict 4,000 Australians will die from influenza this year