Originally Posted by
JDNSW
When I wrote 10-15 years, I was used these figures to make the point that even if this happens, most cars will still be ICE at the end of this period. This does not mark the end of the ICE vehicle, even if manufacture of them ceased then - a reasonable average life is for the last ones produced is at least twenty years (my two cars in pretty much daily use are 50 and 36 years old), so even stopping production of ICE vehicles in 10-15 years does not mean tht our infrastructure has to cope with 100% EVs in 10-15 years - more like 30-35 years, with the changeover being very gradual, so there will be plenty of time to upgrade infrastructure, in the same way that Australia changed from a largely public transport nation in 1945 to a car oriented nation twenty or thirty years later.