
Originally Posted by
JDNSW
I am aware of your views, but we have heard in the above that the particulates are caused by fossil fuel, and you are saying they are mostly due to wood heaters. Both cannot be right. The figures quoted for mortality from this cause are estimates, and there is no way of telling which deaths are caused by particulate matter, but there is a test as to whether the figures are accurate - a ten year difference in life expectancy should show up in the statistics, and it doesn't.
There are plenty of similar examples in different areas - a good example is mandatory annual roadworthiness tests; obviously they make a worthwhile difference to road safety, right? So why is it that states that have them don't have better road statistics than those that don't?
Similarly, it is obvious that using mobile phones while driving is dangerous - and although illegal, we all know that a lot of people do it. But ten years ago mobile phones were rare, now everyone has them, so there are far more used while driving than there were then - but road safety has improved, not got worse in that time. (Also, if we go overseas, to the USA, in some states using phones is illegal, some it isn't, and there is no perceptible difference in the trend of road statistics since phones were introduced, nor when they have been made illegal). (I do not answer my mobile when driving, despite these statistics)
Getting back to medical matters, tobacco smoking has been easily shown to be dangerous, because tobacco smokers are a definable group, and you can reasonably accurately separate those that smoke from those that do not, and show that the health outcomes are far worse for those that do compared to those that do not, despite the fact that the mechanism of the damage is still, after all these years of research, not clear (although there are ideas). But it has been almost impossible to 'prove' that environmental smoke from smokers is hazardous, since there is no statistical source for this, since it is so difficult to say who has been exposed and who has not.
But we seem to have gone a long way from the subject of this thread, which was a proposal to solve the fuel price problem, which unfortunately was based on a number of critical errors of fact, including the such basic ones as the rate of excise and the proportion of Australia's oil imported.
John
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