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Thread: a bit of politics

  1. #1
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    a bit of politics

    Hi all, I am a sales rep in the field earn basic money. I do not work for goverment, or am I a member of any of parties.

    I just want to know how and why Australia has gone from being say 35 billion in profits to 65 billion in the negatives. Why aren't there more people wanting Howard back and Costello back. I live in brisbane and well I agree it's good to see some freeways being built at last, but why are we letting them **** away our country's money. I hope I don't upset too many people. I just hate debt.

    Any feed back would be good because from what I can see and know it feels like Rudd has ****ed all our money away.

    P.S sure there is a recession but why have they spent so much money so quickly.

    Cheers all

  2. #2
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    My understanding goes a little like this...

    Government Profit/Debt is "different" to personal Profit/Debt.

    $35B "Profit" means one of two things, the people have been over taxed, or the government has underserviced.

    The 35 B you mention was only profit on treasury forcasts... that includes royalties/ company taxes and personal taxes. As Australia is only really "good" at digging up dirt, and the big dirt buyers have stopped buying the money inflows to Government have stopped. As companies wind down, and populations spend less the Government receives less "income" from taxes.

    The current elected Government has chosen to encourage economic growth by primarily building infrastructure and secondly giving small payments to the population. Australian infrastructure has been negelected for some years and there is much to gain by providing public infrastructure. I gues though the neo-libs would have it that infrastructure should be provided by market forces and the government should just stay out of it.

    If the Lib/Nats were "dealing" with the GFC I would imagine they may have chosen to stimulate the economy by giving large tax breaks (which generally benefit the upper brackets who are most likely to spend and stimulate the economy) It still would have cost money, government "incomes" would still be down and the net position would be relatively the same...

    The Government Budget is a different beast to the Family Budget - the ideology of the current governing party will decide how money is spent but overall cash flows are probably not significantly effected by local (australian) government actions.

    Maybe

    Steve
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  3. #3
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    look at it like this

    the GEC has generally assured that theres going to be a ****load of people on the unemployment line

    now, do you create tax breaks and pray that people (read: investors and companies) who are already under financial pressure open up thier wallets (which isnt a sure thing) and do "stuff" that will keep people from joining the unemployment lines.... basically nothing is certain, if anything maybe a few less people get laid off, but you still have unemployment growing at a fast rate...... as well as your welfare costs


    OR

    do you spend money on major infrastructure projects, essentially spending money creating things that can be used as collateral against further borrowing, or can be sold off in better times? doing this means jobs are created, and not so much money is spent on dole payments.

    think of it as either deciding to crawl into the bunker and pray that your attacker runs out of ammo eventually, or launching a counterattack

  4. #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by fatcat View Post
    Hi all, I am a sales rep in the field earn basic money. I do not work for goverment, or am I a member of any of parties.

    I just want to know how and why Australia has gone from being say 35 billion in profits to 65 billion in the negatives. Why aren't there more people wanting Howard back and Costello back. I live in brisbane and well I agree it's good to see some freeways being built at last, but why are we letting them **** away our country's money. I hope I don't upset too many people. I just hate debt.

    Any feed back would be good because from what I can see and know it feels like Rudd has ****ed all our money away.

    P.S sure there is a recession but why have they spent so much money so quickly.

    Cheers all
    The party in power is irrelevant and its a situation that is a lot larger than Rudd or Howard. What you're thinking is exactly what the opposition want you to think, but if they were in power then it would still be the same.

    If the spending wasn't happening, then unemployment would be significantly greater and we would be on a big steep downward spiral into one cracker of a recession. I heard someone say a while ago that in the economic good times you pack it away for the economic bad times. A dip now is good for our future, likewise good times now will be the end of us in the future.

    Interestingly, my parents have been OS for much of the last 12 months and Australia is getting excellent reports on their management of the financial situation, especially in the country of the new financial superpower and owner of the USA.
    Cheers
    Slunnie


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  5. #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Slunnie View Post
    The party in power is irrelevant and its a situation that is a lot larger than Rudd or Howard. What you're thinking is exactly what the opposition want you to think, but if they were in power then it would still be the same.

    If the spending wasn't happening, then unemployment would be significantly greater and we would be on a big steep downward spiral into one cracker of a recession. I heard someone say a while ago that in the economic good times you pack it away for the economic bad times. A dip now is good for our future, likewise good times now will be the end of us in the future.

    Interestingly, my parents have been OS for much of the last 12 months and Australia is getting excellent reports on their management of the financial situation, especially in the country of the new financial superpower and owner of the USA.
    I don't know if its 'excellent financial management' probably more the fact that we are a resource rich country that gives the government of the day a lot more options. ( I must add, for which we flog off far to cheaply, particularly gas to China ). The wealth generated is enjoyed by a relatively small population even if a lot of it goes OS via the multinationals.
    I wonder how oil rich states such as the Saudi's are fairing, I haven't heard how they are going. They are probably saying what recession.

  6. #6
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    As far as im concerned you cant blame our current goverment its a world recession as was the last one when the Lib/Nats blamed Keating for the recession we had to have , it was the world that was in recession then as is the story now.

    I am more than happy with the job the goverment are is doing at the moment , It would be hard for any goverment who ever was in power to deal with this situataion
    And lets face it if these know it alls could do a better job why arent they in goverment instead of playing the blame game and bagging the current goverment

  7. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by Slunnie View Post

    , especially in the country of the new financial superpower and owner of the USA.

    I find it ironic the two countries you speak of slunnie went after global power in opposite ways---

    I think the phrase I'm searching for is--

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  8. #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by rangieman View Post
    And lets face it if these know it alls could do a better job why arent they in goverment instead of playing the blame game and bagging the current goverment
    They aren't in power because the average Australian voter likes to give the "other side" a go every now and then.

    I know people who started to feel an economic downturn as soon as the election results were announced, long before the global thing started to have effect.

  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by fatcat View Post
    Hi all, I am a sales rep in the field earn basic money. I do not work for goverment, or am I a member of any of parties.

    I just want to know how and why Australia has gone from being say 35 billion in profits to 65 billion in the negatives. Why aren't there more people wanting Howard back and Costello back. I live in brisbane and well I agree it's good to see some freeways being built at last, but why are we letting them **** away our country's money. I hope I don't upset too many people. I just hate debt.

    Any feed back would be good because from what I can see and know it feels like Rudd has ****ed all our money away.

    P.S sure there is a recession but why have they spent so much money so quickly.

    Cheers all
    I think we've gone that far into national debt because KRudd promised us all the world when he got into power. To his credit, he has delivered on a fair majority of his promises from 2 years ago. The promises 2 weeks ago about the budget "would be tough, and make people unhappy" and etc. however haven't been delivered IMO. I really can't see where he has drastically cut spending and made the "tough" choices - he's made a fair whack of people happy.

    The "Hunter Expressway" as it is now so called is well overdue - I'm happy to see the money for this as it has been planned for over 20 years. Pity I most likely be here in the 6 years it will take them to build some road .

    So to answer the original question - how did we go from surplus to a forecast ~60billion in debt - I reckon its because too many election promises were filled and not enough "tough decisions".

    I love politics (not really).

    Seano

  10. #10
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    I remember reading a thing in the paper a good few years ago about Paul Keating's term as Treasurer. He'd received a lot of criticism during the eighties when Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan were in power. The article said that many people, looking at the situation in retrospect couldn't help but notice that Australia had handled the situation better than the USA or UK.

    The article also said that the situation Keating was facing was an economic situation that was affecting most of the world. To paraphrase it reckoned that he didn't follow the flock and run around like a chook with its head cut off.

    Seems to me we're in a similar situation now.

    Simon

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