I don't really subscribe to this theory, shafts don't break due to power, they fail due to the shock loading you get when a wheel spins and bites, a locked vehicle can crawl in a slower controlled manner whereas an unlocked vehicle often relies on momentum to clear an obstacle, this means more speed, more wheelspin and ultimately more shock loading and thus more failures.
having said that, the stock shafts are not very strong and we sell lots of the HD shafts but all things being equal I would say driving locked and slower causes less drive line shock loading.
Dave


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