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Thread: Would Australia have enough Electricity (now) if everyone switched to EV ?

  1. #41
    Homestar's Avatar
    Homestar is offline Super Moderator & CA manager Subscriber
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    Some very good questions - answers to what I know in red below.

    Quote Originally Posted by DazzaTD5 View Post
    As someone that is very much a layman with regards to EVs, power generation etc I dont have the facts or knowledge but the questions that pop into my head are...

    *According to targets set this time next year there will be, what 200K EVs on the road? going from about 6K of EV sales currently?.
    *Where will the infrastructure be to charge them? what about households that have 4 or 5 cars, where do they charge their EV?- EV would need to be the one in or closest to the garage - if it's like my place, a quick shuffle to get the EV near an outlet would work fine in most cases.
    *4 or 5 cars is quite common, just drive around my area (Rivervale W.A).
    *I was told that you can simply put charge plugs in the curbs, sounds great, so this time next year it will be all set up and running? Curbside charging infrastructure is a long way off and very expensive - easier to run a lead to a 15 amp outlet beside the house, etc
    *So all the EV being charged out the front of a household, how long before local thieves steal the charge leads or simply unplug them as a laugh? Yeah, I can see that happening.
    *Who is building the infrastructure? Gov? (the NBN cost so far is something like 50B to 90B )e Private enterprise is so very slow - Gubment are asleep at the wheel on EV's here.
    *I was told the private sector could build the infrastructure? ​Yes, but without a business case and return on investment, no one will touch it as neither stack up
    *I read that typically over the life of a vehicle that EVs are round 20% cheaper? They talk about "life of a vehicle" being 10 years.
    *When did 10 years become the end life of a vehicle? Agreed - it's a push from the OEM's to get you to spend more money on crap vehicles
    *After 10 years and replacing a EV's battery whats the cost then?i Very high - despite promises of falling prices for batteries - this hasn't eventuated yet. Was talking to a solar installer yesterday who was telling me prices had risen slightly for batteries over the last 5 years and he wouldn't recommend them for residential use any time soon.
    *What happens to the old battery? I'm sure some form of recycling some of their products will happen at some stage but at the moment, land fill

    *A mate that is an electrical contractor said (vaguely remembering) that charging an EV will be like every household having a additional hot plate on? Then some - to charge overnight off a standard power point it would be running pretty hard - but it's still cheaper than putting petrol in your car
    *I dont know what it's like where you live, but here in Perth W.A last week we had some hot days that clearly everyone had their air con running, well there was power outages all over Perth which was hampered by repair crews not being able to do repair work due to the fire danger. One of the biggest issues and not easy to overcome

    *I could EASILY drive a EV as my daily at absolutely no inconvenience to me what so ever. (I mean something like goingbush's EV Land Rover).
    *I would need a plug on the front of my house with a long lead that would likely get left out the front when not plugged into my EV as I dont park my vehicle under the carport and is often on the front lawn.

    *Lastly if a petrol/diesel vehicle is called a ICE then shouldn't a electric vehicle be called a EM or ED (electric motor/drive) or should a ICE be called a HV (hydrocarbon vehicle) or a FFV (fossil fuel vehicle) or ICEV (internal combustion engine vehicle).
    *My pick is ICEV
    If you need to contact me please email homestarrunnerau@gmail.com - thanks - Gav.

  2. #42
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    I don't know why infrastructure keeps coming up as an issue.

    For the average Australian that lives in a house, for 90% of trips If you have a power point you have the infrastructure.

    If you live in a high-rise , or other apartment style accomodation , yes you have a problem, but not what its made out to be.

    If you need to go on long distances trips your going to need to accept EV are not for you.

  3. #43
    Homestar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by goingbush View Post
    I don't know why infrastructure keeps coming up as an issue.

    For the average Australian that lives in a house, for 90% of trips If you have a power point you have the infrastructure.

    If you live in a high-rise , or other apartment style accomodation , yes you have a problem, but not what its made out to be.

    If you need to go on long distances trips your going to need to accept EV are not for you.
    Already covered that - only works for some of the time - very few will buy an EV if there isn’t a decent amount of chargers out in area they want to go - a survey a couple of months ago confirmed that. Doesn’t matter if you personally think it’s right or wrong, that’s the perception out there - and I agree with it as I wouldn’t spend vast amounts of money on an EV if I couldn’t drive it further than work and back without having to spend ages planning the route, working out where the chargers are etc - I’d want to be able to drive to any decent town within its range and know I can charge there - that’s a looooooong way off. I know I’m not the only one that thinks this way - that is why infrastructure is relevant and one of the biggest issues - you can’t tell people they’re wrong and just to buy an EV without addressing their concerns - it just doesn’t work that way.
    If you need to contact me please email homestarrunnerau@gmail.com - thanks - Gav.

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    Isn’t part of Homestar’s point though - yes we all have power points, but if we all buy EV’s then the infrastructure can’t handle it?

    I installed solar panels on my house last year - put I can’t send power to the grid because the local infrastructure can’t handle it.

    My typical work day is:
    Leave home at 6:15am
    Arrive at work - park on the street
    Come home at 6:45pm

    Outside of daylight savings and in particular during winter, I leave home in the dark and get home in the dark.

    I can’t charge my EV at work - it’s parked in the street.
    I can’t charge my EV overnight using my solar panels.
    I don’t get any credits for generating power during the day.

    One solution is - buy a battery pack…

    How expensive is that? What’s the ROI on the battery pack for the house? What’s the ROI for the battery pack in the car? What environmental damage have I caused when my batteries were made?

    My wife’s daily drive is a 98 Freelander (don’t laugh). It’s 23 years old - I am not entirely sure that any EV battery would last that long?

    FYI - I would love an EV if I could make it work for my situation.
    88 Perentie FFR - Club Rego
    93 Discovery 1 200 Tdi - Club Rego
    03 130 Td5 Single Cab
    06 Discovery 3 Petrol
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  5. #45
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    ROI on a battery pack at the moment is around 15 to 20 years depending on how it's utilised - not viable IMO at the moment for most.
    If you need to contact me please email homestarrunnerau@gmail.com - thanks - Gav.

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    I actually don’t think the Gov is asleep at the wheel.
    I think in this case they aren’t going to throw tonnes of cash at something about to become redundant long before ROI.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Tombie View Post
    I actually don’t think the Gov is asleep at the wheel.
    I think in this case they aren’t going to throw tonnes of cash at something about to become redundant long before ROI.
    You don't really think they are that smart do you,
    or did they actually learn something with the NBN rollout , oops its not rolled out yet AND it was obsolete before rollout even began.

  8. #48
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    The question asked as the title of this thread is pretty rhetorical - it is simply impossible that for everyone to switch to EVs now. Even using the most optimistic EV enthusiast's predictions, EVs will not outnumber fuelled vehicle sales new until 2025, and realistically this will be 2030. With an average vehicle life of ten years it will probably be well into the 2030s or even later that 50% of vehicles on the road will be EVs.

    The grid will be updated over time to accommodate the demand, the same as happened with airconditioning homes in the last quarter of the twentieth century, which resulted in a major shift in not only the quantity of power demand but the timing of that demand. I expect there will be problems and power shortages in some places, but this is hardly new - it has been going on all my life.
    John

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    Well now that Natural Gas is considered "green" this will be a lot easier! LOL
    And I look forward to our first Nuclear power station.

    Regards PhilipA

  10. #50
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    Quote Originally Posted by PhilipA View Post
    Well now that Natural Gas is considered "green" this will be a lot easier! LOL
    And I look forward to our first Nuclear power station.

    Regards PhilipA
    A few Nuclear power plants coming to Australia Philip. They will sink of course N Subs I mean.

    The E.U. including some gas and Nuclear in Green is interesting but off topic. On energy we all use in in our Landies electric, petrol or Diesel.

    The energy required to:
    1. Extract oil
    2. transport to refineries
    3. Make a litre of fuel
    4. Transport it to consumers
    5. Pump it into our trucks

    Suspect the cost is one of the reason fuel costs are currently about $1.60per litre ish for petrol or Diesel and $0.36 per kWh for electricity? (Possibly a lot less if Solar on the roof is used)

    What is clear is changes in demand are occurring world wide. Even those Monster RAMs are going EV (2024) I am thinking of selling my quirky one as there none available now for several months and some option to be a true disco replacement are as normal "Coming one day" With 7 years left on my mg's warranty it just might sell, I hate the idea of tire kicker so probably won't. Kids driving in a year or two can have it likely.

    Still amazed by all the feathering at the massive wind farms. So much power not used except at peak time still offers options once better storage or cheap power use can be rolled out.

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