Umm, I think Ben might just be that with his doctorate and the research he does.....
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It depends if you are interested in environmental or health effects. Vehicles emit NOx at/near ground level. emissions during thunderstorms are emitted across the whole air column and often washed out by the rain falling at the same time.
To put things in perspective, I was speaking to a leading EU air quality modeller the other week. He said that their models can only predict about 1/3 of the NOx in the air in Europe (they use both natural and anthropogenic sources as model inputs). They were forced to use emissions factors which corresponded to vehicle regulations. If they use "real" nox emissions from vehicles as an input to their models they now predict accurately.
It would be interesting to know just how they know the "real" emissions from vehicles is measured - I suspect it could be best described as an informed guess, seeing that they would vary widely according to conditions, mix of vehicles etc. Which of course begs the question as to whether the "informed" meant a number that gave the right answer and looked reasonable.
However, there is no doubt at all that emissions of all types, are different in "real" motoring from those measured in testing. But the reason that testing is done in closely specified conditions is that the emissions vary so widely according to the conditions, and it is unrealistic to expect that they will ever match test figures at all closely. What VW have done though is to deliberately game this difference. Other manufacturers may have done this as well, but certainly all manufacturers have designed their products to be able to meet the specified tests, knowing that they will not give the same figures in normal use.
No different from racing yacht designers designing to meet the rules, and doing their best to produce a product better than the opposition even though they were designed to meet the same rules - that are there to try and make the handicap commensurate with the actual speed of the yacht.
And then there is the unanswered question as to how many localities really have health problems from NOx emissions from diesel cars. Certainly in this country there would, I suspect, be far more emitted by diesel trucks, and I doubt there are many localities where it is a problem regardless. And what proportion of diesel cars do these model VW represent in this country anyway?
John
There are extensive studies on this in the EU. [Basically they have portable equipment which fits in the back of (any) car and connects to the exhaust] They have measured the emission rates from a huge range of vehicles under a very wide range of conditions. There have been studies for around 5 years showing real emissions were up to 300x higher than test emissions, but a lot of this was put down to the EU drive cycle acceleration rate being unrealistically slow.
Ya could do a google search, ya know.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diesel_exhaust_fluid
It reduces the nitrogen oxides back to nitrogen and water with some CO2 produced..
Currently in a DSITI / BCC seminar. Data they have shows 63% of NOx in greater brisbane region is from motor vehicles.
Two questions need to be asked on this -
1. How much is from diesel cars?
2. How much is from the affected VW models?
And, of course, is the total level a significant health risk. Would not surprise me if it is, because Brisbane has weather conditions conducive to stagnation fairly often.
Actually, I'm surprised that the proportion attributed to motor vehicles is not higher than that, although the error bars on that figure could be interesting, as could the variability of the levels.
John