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Thread: Climate Change and our Land of Fire, Flood and Drought.

  1. #521
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    Quote Originally Posted by clive22 View Post
    So we disregard all of the weather records for Melbourne which is an expansive city because they moved the city weather station from the north to south end of the city block. Doesn’t seem seem that misleading to me. It’s a 5 min weather report on the evening news, you don’t get many words to qualify the data.
    Wasn't the weather report. The BoM man was interviewed about the fire risk to the north/west mallee region.
    Had nothing to do with the weather report section, that came about 15 mins or so later.

    So when Paul Higgins comes on 15 or so mins later then declares 39 will be the 5th highest on record(it'll actually be the 8th highest) 5th highest will be mid 39's .. my alarm bells went off.
    How can it be the 5th highest that Higgins just mentioned, but 15mins earlier the BoM man said will be a record.

    BoM man should be demoted to non scientist category for misleading info.

    Besides, a 39 in Melb isn't an issue for the Mallee 300-400klm away, so why does it matter how hots it's ever been in Melb to the Mallee region anyhow?

    When it comes to disregarding, maybe ask the question to the BoM why the previous 160 years of a defunct weather station is suddenly 'disregarded' and records seem to begin in 2013?
    Arthur.

    All these discos are giving me a heart attack!

    '99 D1 300Tdi Auto ( now sold :( )
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  2. #522
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    BOM does this often. they have done the same thing in adel.
    and even down scaled previous high temperatures.
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  3. #523
    DiscoMick Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by 350RRC View Post
    Gillard's government was responsible for the 'goldplating' at taxpayer's expense. Would have kept at least one major union's members awash with fully funded everything.

    Still going on AFAIK and none of the money is really being used to bring the grid into line with the new renewables reality.

    DL
    Governments don't control how power companies upgrade their transmission lines, companies make those decisions.

  4. #524
    DiscoMick Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by manic View Post
    Australians export **** quality coal too. The Adani mine is a recent example of high impact mining to ship out vast quantities of cheap **** quality coal.

    Australia helps to lower the price of coal with generous supply. This encourages more coal usage in developing countries. Australia claiming it is lowering CO2 emissions through mining and exporting coal..... That's quite a stretch!
    It is true that replacing coal with LNG roughly halves emissions. That's one of the ways the UK is achieving it's target of becoming zero net emissions.

  5. #525
    DiscoMick Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by AK83 View Post
    This is the kind of 'scientific mumbo jumbo' that irks me most!

    How?

    Think about it logically: many older people move to warmer climates, eg. in Aus from freezing November Melbourne to tropical QLD .... alternatively the infamous US reversal process where it's Florida(equiv to QLD) where they move from their literally frozen norther latitudes.
    So older folks gravitate to warmer climates and global warming is supposedly going to cause 250,000 additional deaths per year.
    Global warming may diminish the grey nomad migration to warmer climates, but additional deaths?
    250K deaths per year .. world wide?

    In 2017, we see there were around 56 million deaths globally; nearly half of these (49%) were in those aged 70 years or older; 27% in the 50-69 year age group; 14% aged 15-49; only 1% aged 5-14; and around 10% in children under the age of 5.

    no death is a good thing, but looking at the numbers there, 49% aged 70+ is this where the additional 250K will come from? or is it from the 50-69 group .. etc.

    If they can predict deaths from some potential cause, then why not just do something for those individuals that will supposedly suffer.
    They obviously have all encompassing predictive powers, so why not use them more specifically.

    It's all a load of malarkey.

    How many deaths have been due to a 1°C increase in average temperature .. say if it was 30° today, how many will be at risk tomorrow if it's 31°C?



    And another example of how the 'data' is misused to misrepresent some sensationalist headline:

    On ABC news tonight, they had a guy from the BoM on explaining how tomorrow in Melb we're going to experience 'record breaking' temperatures for Nov.
    On the face of it, and in a very obscure manner, he's right. If we hit 39°C tomorrow it'll be a record. But when dig deep into the data, a reading of 39.0°C would make it the 8th hottest Nov day since records began.
    So? how could it be a record at 39° when 39° would be the 8th hottest on record. Again, delve into the data. Melb has had a couple of stations that they used to use. Main one was regional(literally just out of the centre of melb). But this station closed in 2015.
    The new station opened in 2013(Olympic Park) and for this station 35.8° was the highest on record(in 6 years!!!), so technically, the BoM man was right .. will be(if it happens) a record temp for Nov .. for that new station!

    How do we interpret this info from the BoM man? Accurate? of course it sure is. But is it misleading .. 101% definitely!
    As a scientist(or climate scientist at BoM) isn't it his job to report the info in a more accurate manner?

    Sensationalism science .. and the ABC should be ashamed of themselves!
    Think about disease. Raising the temperature even a couple of degrees enables diseases to breed.
    Nearby Asia is rife with what are called vector diseases, which could easily come here if our average temperatures rise. Malaria, dengue fever, avian flu etc.
    Climate change will kill huge numbers if people.
    Then there are the people who die from heat-related diseases. Vehicle emissions already kill about 1000 Australians a year and fires cause the smoke which affects many people. And there are other climate-related deaths

  6. #526
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    all those protesters wanting to save the environment should join their fire brigade and help put the fires out. actions speak louder than words.
    Current Cars:
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  7. #527
    DiscoMick Guest
    My son just did a statistical modelling course during which the lecturer pointed out that there is drastically modelling correlating global warning with the number of pilots. More pilots means more flights means more aircraft emissions means increased global warming. Gotta love statistics!

  8. #528
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eevo View Post
    all those protesters wanting to save the environment should join their fire brigade and help put the fires out. actions speak louder than words.
    Actually that wouldn't be smart, their time is better spent stopping them in the first place, especially considering they have zero fire fighting skills and would prob just get in the way or harm themselves Climate Change and our Land of Fire, Flood and Drought.

  9. #529
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    Quote Originally Posted by blackrangie View Post
    Actually that wouldn't be smart, their time is better spent stopping them in the first place, especially considering they have zero fire fighting skills and would prob just get in the way or harm themselves Climate Change and our Land of Fire, Flood and Drought.
    you know they provide training right?
    Current Cars:
    2013 E3 Maloo, 350kw
    2008 RRS, TDV8
    1995 VS Clubsport

    Previous Cars:
    2008 ML63, V8
    2002 VY SS Ute, 300kw
    2002 Disco 2, LS1 conversion

  10. #530
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    40 in Mildura today, 39 in Melbourne. Cool change tonight.

    Victorian 7-day Forecasts
    I’m pretty sure the dinosaurs died out when they stopped gathering food and started having meetings to discuss gathering food

    A bookshop is one of the only pieces of evidence we have that people are still thinking

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