Thread: Climate Change and our Land of Fire, Flood and Drought.

Originally Posted by bblaze

Not true AK
Local areas in tassie are above annual avg and monthly avg. Talking to parks staff at Arther River yesterday and they were up 60mm for the month, Smithton has been 39 odd mm above average, The west coast is well up on average. The east coast is down on average but it is the driest coastline
cheers
blaze

The data that BoM has for rainfall(total), is more about the long term(ie. climate change) scenario .. not simply month, year or decade measurements.

They obviously have those too, but the graphs and data I've linked too, show that over the past 100+ years, Tassie has gone from just over 1400mm/yr to just under 1400mm/yr averages.
These are averages, not specific numbers per year.

ie. most of Aus is in drought this year(2019), Tassie tho is bang on their 1400mm average.

Vic is in the same situation as you describe for Tas too so far. We seem to have had a very wet May-Oct period, but Victoria's overall rain for this year is down too.
Some parts of Vic tho have shown very little rai .... (IIRC, mainly the NW. ie. murray darling basin, where this current drought is hitting hardest, where other parts show above average rain.

Originally Posted by Eevo

the cost of when a backburn goes wrong

Can easily happen, once in the army we were on night manoeuvres and the Sgt-Major was supposed to shoot up a flare when we were in position, unfortunately he didn't hold it up properly and it went into grassland. In the breeze the flames took off as fast as we could run, we just dropped our rifles and took off our bush jackets to beat out the flames, luckily there was a platoon of us so we managed to put it out!

I can highly recommend looking at the modelling work done on atmospheric water vapour.

Very little has been done in this space as it was considered far too complex to model accurately and as such CO2 became the primary focus.

Worth a bit of time.

If we spent $4 billion to halt climate change, here's how we could transform Australia
What you'd spend to prevent climate change — and what you could get with your money - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

Naaah Mick, that seems too sensible for Federal Govts in OZ. Doesn't it?

AK83,.
It is probably due to parallax error.
The "temperature recording devices" were installed by a 6ft technician but read by a 5ft 2in data recorder, thus why they are always revised down.

"The real question is: why are they revising the majority of the previous (ie. OLD) data downwards only .. and none of it upwards."

Tongue firmly in cheek!

Originally Posted by DiscoMick

About half of bush fires are lit by humans I read, so let's apply the carbon tax to anyone convicted of lighting a bushfire.

I was talking to a mate who was deployed to the northern fires a couple of weeks ago and was surprised to see multiple cases of fires that appeared to have been deliberately lit in areas of replanted forest that were well isolated from where typical firebug activity would be. The surmise was that perhaps there is money in them carbon credits and after being paid to plant trees in a patch of dirt that were unfortunately destroyed, then it may be economically viable to be paid to replant them a second time. Just a theory, mind you.........

Regards,
Tote

Originally Posted by AK83

ie. most of Aus is in drought this year(2019), Tassie tho is bang on their 1400mm average.

yet nearly everywhere we went down there in October we were told how badly they were in drought down there

one woman in southport went right off when we were a little shocked to hear it and said to her that the place had so many shades of green it was hard to believe when where home was so many shades of brown..

got the full blast including how the greenies should have been shot for stopping the franklin dam.

only saw one brown paddock in the whole place and it had just been ploughed