Thread: Corona Virus

Originally Posted by roverrescue

BUT assuming the most recent research released about 24hrs ago is largely accurate that the virus Ro (transmissibility) is about 1.5
Ie for each infected person only 1.5 people will be infected

If this is in reference to the Lancet paper, you or the media that reported does not understand what they did. They are not predicting an R0 of 1.5. They are just saying that if it was 1.5, we may be able to contain it. If it is higher, we won't

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/l...074-7/fulltext

Most believe the R0 is in the 2 to 3 range. That, in addition to what I already explained about the long incubation time and the high asymptomatic rate means it is not reasonable to contain.

Study of 72,000 COVID-19 patients finds 2.3% death rate | CIDRAP

A guide to What to know about the Corona virus. There is a lot of misinformation out there. This may clear it all up.




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Red90 the estimate of 1.5 was from an ID Consultant who did also reference that article in the Lancet.

Re: the re-infection after clearing comment
Clearly the ABC is not above fomenting hysteria!

And with respect to preparedness I am glad that it is our health professionals who are prepared and we will rely on than our politicians. They have had practice with these things! This is not the first nor will it be the last epidemic/pandemic health services are prepared and will pull things off you would never expect.

S

Originally Posted by Pickles2

I'm glad you said "your words", because without getting "Political" & breaking Forum rules, I haven't seen or heard anything from him that could be interpreted as such,....maybe you can supply me with a link.
Actually I think we're doing all we can & also, again, from what I've seen & read, the Opposition & the Govt are very much united in the approach "AUSSIE" is taking,....this thing is MUCH bigger that Politics IMHO, and unless I'm missing something, anyone that brings "Politics" into this is belittling themselves, & the very serious nature of this virus.
So unless someone makes a very serious error of judgement, endangering Aussie lives, I see no "Political" issues relative to this in Aussie at all.
Pickles.

NB. The"piece of cake" are my words. The other was Scomo giving a TV interview.

End of.

Originally Posted by roverrescue

Red90 the estimate of 1.5 was from an ID Consultant who did also reference that article in the Lancet.

Re: the re-infection after clearing comment
Clearly the ABC is not above fomenting hysteria!

And with respect to preparedness I am glad that it is our health professionals who are prepared and we will rely on than our politicians. They have had practice with these things! This is not the first nor will it be the last epidemic/pandemic health services are prepared and will pull things off you would never expect.

S

Woman who recovered from coronavirus tests positive for it again in Japan

Not just ABC it seems.

Originally Posted by superquag

My Wife was shopping in a relatively wealthy suburb yesterday...and reports the well-known supermarket had already been stripped of ALL....
Toilet paper.

Picked up a script at the same time, and the chemist had almost sold out (of yet another shipment) of 1 litre hand sanitiser.

Is there a large ethnic Chinese population in that area?

Originally Posted by superquag

Tried to buy common-or-garden cheap surgical facemasks ? Or pay for them ??

My dentist - friend tells me they've had to scrabble hard to get two months supply of them.

Our doctor daughter is in Japan at the moment and we asked about face masks. She mentioned that once they become damp from one's breath, the moisture provides a transmission path for the virus.

Originally Posted by johntins

I believe Bob posted a few weeks back for us to get our flu jabs. He was likely correct. I didn't though, so if I die from Covoid-19 you can all say 'I told you so'.

I was at the Dr. last week and asked about the new flu vaccine as we are going to NZ in a couple of weeks. The latest vaccine won't be available until April.

Originally Posted by ChookD2

Most of you are saying "I won't be around, don't care", my/your grandchildren and great grandchildren will be.

Not a problem for me - I don't have any grandchildren.

Originally Posted by Johndoe

Woman who recovered from coronavirus tests positive for it again in Japan

Not just ABC it seems.

I would think most ID experts would be leery of drawing too many conclusions from cases of testing not only from different labs but different countries... the PCr test is not 100% not even close. But having said that these cases highlight how little we know about the virus

Panic is never the right response to lack of knowledge !

Steve