It is a virus that can re-occur.
A couple of correspondents on here have had recurring issues.
DL
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It is a virus that can re-occur.
A couple of correspondents on here have had recurring issues.
DL
no, the virus doesn't re-occur. it's never eliminated and "hides" in nerve endings. it might sounds like im splitting hairs but its an important distinction.Quote:
Originally Posted by 350RRC
My old man (very senior infectious disease specialist) would say it potentially 're- presents', i.e. you can have the same symptoms / potential mortality risk more than once.
thanks, DL
Not sure that the isolation thing is working out so well for the NT. Northern Territory health officials report new case of coronavirus - ABC News the reality is that there will be outbreaks in WA sooner or later, the important thing is how those outbreaks are managed, preferably by not letting the rentacops bonk the inmates.Quote:
Originally Posted by trout1105
Regards,
Tote
.... is that we still don't know what the long-term effect of this thing is - getting everyone infected may not be a good idea.
Lots of people having ongoing issues:
Coronavirus Survivors: Here'''s What Recovery May Look Like - The New York Times
i think its enviable.Quote:
Originally Posted by Arapiles
take USA: 0.8% of their population is infected
confirmed cases are doubling approx every 60 days (2 months). I'll leave out the exponential maths for now.
0.8 now/early july
1.6 early sept
3.2 early nov
6.4 early jan
12.8 early mar
25.6 early may
51.2 early july <---1 year from now
102.4 early sept
whts australia going to do? keep it self isolated from the rest of the world?
If the USA allows the current rate of increase to continue as you suggest, there will be a large measure of chaos, with medical facilities collapsed in many places (for example, see https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-upda...upancy-growth/), massive numbers of personal bankruptcies - remember that in the USA a week in hospital (average hospital stay for hospitalised cases is over a fortnight) means bankruptcy for probably at least a third of the population. The effects of the number of resulting business failures will result in a long lasting depression which will leave the Great Depression looking like a minor blip.
In reality, it is unlikely the rate of increase will continue unchecked - at the present rate of increase the pandemic will, by November, have claimed more lives than all US lives lost in wars since 1900. If it continues until this time next year, the death toll is likely to exceed that of all US wars since 1776. Long before that happens most people will be starting to behave sensibly without government rules, so that herd immunity levels for a disease this infectious will take years to achieve.
No, I don't think this is enviable.
It is almost certain that a workable vaccine will be available by this time next year, if not earlier, and those countries that manage to keep it at bay until "herd immunity" can be achieved using a vaccine and still have a more or less intact society will be in a lot better situation than those that have allowed much of their society to be destroyed by the virus.
Corona viruses in the past have been shown to have only short term immunity.Quote:
Originally Posted by Eevo
Rabies, diptheria and so on are ones that you have limited immunity periods.
I'm not convinced by the herd immunity argument. How does that work for influenza, where there are vaccines but it still spreads, for example? Or for various diseases which spread if less than about 80% of individuals are immunised, which is happening now. Individual immunity for a period yes, but herd immunity I'm not convinced will work, particularly when the virus is so highly infectious and easily transmitted. I guess only time will tell.
That case was a man from Victoria, working in Darwin, who visited his family in Melbourne, then flew to Darwin via Brisbane. Nothing to do with the way the NT have approached the problem. BTW, Victorians have need to be thankful for QLD shutting its borders, because it almost certainly saved their AFL competition.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tote