Corona Virus

**Pickles2** · 3rd March 2020, 07:58 AM

Well, I don't have a lot of info on this virus, but I'm becoming increasingly worried about the World situation, and recent statements that there will be a substantial outbreak in Aussie,...."inevitable" is the word I've heard used.
There seems to be no sign of the numbers of new cases subsiding, & people are becoming infected who haven't traveled overseas, cases are starting to pop up randomly. If we do have a substantial outbreak in Aussie, are we capable of countering/containing it?
Obviously the world economy is being affected, but I'm not particularly concerned about that, IMHO our health is our most important asset.
There's been Ebola, & when we traveled to the UK many years ago, they were in the middle of a foot & mouth outbreak, but I don't think I can remember anything as large as this.
So yes, I'm very concerned, particularly as numbers of infections are growing, efforts to contain the disease to date appear to be unsuccessful, and there is no cure.
Pickles.

**Red90** · 3rd March 2020, 08:08 AM

The experts say it can't be contained as explained above. All you can do is limit the infection rates. If you are old, you want to stay away from all people once it starts to spread in your area.

If the world is lucky, it is seasonal. Unfortunately, that means Australia is screwed as it will follow winter.

**Fatso** · 3rd March 2020, 08:08 AM

[QUOTE=4bee;2977888]So, who is worried? Concerned, but not worried. Good personal hygiene & awareness will get us through this glitch in history.

If people display the good personal hygiene and awareness as they do on Cruise Ships to prevent Norovirus spreading then we are all at risk .

**roverrescue** · 3rd March 2020, 08:16 AM

Red90
Like a lot of things it depends

BUT assuming the most recent research released about 24hrs ago is largely accurate that the virus Ro (transmissibility) is about 1.5
Ie for each infected person only 1.5 people will be infected

Now that Ro can be influenced and driven down by good public health measures ie containment

Get the Ro below 1.0 and this particular virus can be contained

Doomsdayers has the Ro pegged at anything up to 5.0 that I read but the most up to date research sits it well lower and in the range of public health containment

Now how feasible is that Nobody knows but plan for the worst hope for the best

Steve

**Johndoe** · 3rd March 2020, 08:26 AM

People infected and then given the all clear have now been infected a second time.
That is of some concern.

**roverrescue** · 3rd March 2020, 08:46 AM

No offence to the poster but this has been posted all over the internet but medically lacks enough information to be of any use apart from scare mongering and spreading misinformation

People infected and then given the all clear have now been infected a second time.
That is of some concern.

Define the “first” infection, where they symptomatic?
Define “all clear” no symptoms ? No antibodies on PCR ?
Define “second infection”

Steve

**Johndoe** · 3rd March 2020, 08:50 AM

Originally Posted by roverrescue

Define the “first” infection, where they symptomatic?
Define “all clear” no symptoms ? No antibodies on PCR ?
Define “second infection”

Steve

I was simply quoting ABC mate.
You would need to ask them there definitions.

**4bee** · 3rd March 2020, 09:00 AM

SCOMO reckons "they" are all prepared & it is 'a piece of cake' (my words).

One wonders if it is the same state of preparedness as they were for the recent fires?

**Red90** · 3rd March 2020, 09:40 AM

Originally Posted by roverrescue

BUT assuming the most recent research released about 24hrs ago is largely accurate that the virus Ro (transmissibility) is about 1.5

Source?

**bob10** · 3rd March 2020, 09:40 AM

Some good news on the Shares front. Wall St up 4%.

Stocks Surge as Central Banks Vow to Act on Coronavirus Impact - The New York Times

Thread: Corona Virus

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