Originally Posted by
JDNSW
Absolutely correct. In fact, the situation is probably worse than the excess death figures show for many countries, because nearly everywhere has taken some effort to try and stop the spread of covid-19, and even where these infection control measures have been less than stellar in controlling the pandemic, they have reduced the spread of other infections that have similar transmission mechanisms. Most notable is influenza, which is much less infectious, but also much more widespread in many countries.
This is attested by evidence such as that published in Denmark early in the pandemic, which clearly showed a 75% reduction in the proportion of positive tests for influenza with the introduction of movement restrictions, despite the same number of tests being performed.
Another possible indicator supporting the excess number of deaths as being an underestimate of covid-19 deaths is the publication in the last couple of days that suicide rates in lockdown in Victoria have not increased as was expected by some.
And as an indicator of Australia's success in dealing with the pandemic is that for Australia, once reported covid-19 deaths are accounted for, the excess death number is very small.