
Originally Posted by
johnp38
This omicron thingy from my limited understanding is following some sort of historical pattern where the pandemics become more contagious as they mutate but less dangerous until it becomes an 'endemic' or some such thing like the normal flu and other bugs that we just accept and live/deal with.
What if covid does a turn and the next variant is even more contagious than omicron and far more deadly than alpha and delta?
Everyone seems to be breathing a sigh of up coming relief because of the south african situation looking 'good' but we still have not had any positive, concrete, forward looking developments with regards to quarantine/emergency accomodation centres and boosting health centres/hospitals to cater for these events and other possible health disaster situations.
Feel free to correct any misunderstandings in my post, as long as I live I learn.
Quarantine is pretty much a waste of time from a containment perspective as the horse has well and truly bolted on the east coast at least. Most households that get a positive case will probably all get it because of the increased transmissability unless they are lucky enough to have a granny flat or similar. One of eldest daughter's mates was consigned to the horse truck for a week which did the trick (it does have accommodation facilities). The current outbreak started just prior to Christmas, if it were as as severe as Delta I would have expected to see ICU rates going through the roof instead of the modest increase we have seen. This is the latest ICU reporting I have seen and two thirds of those in ICU are unvaccinated Two thirds of ICU COVID patients unvaccinated as omicron charges on | Newcastle Herald | Newcastle, NSW Those figures would also have had a proportion of delta cases as well.
Based on experience around here most people seem to experience moderate symptoms for a few days and are then over it, a large number of the younger generation feel that it is better to get it and wear a week of isolation knowing they are unlikely to catch it again for a few months, from their perspective being a close contact and not getting it is worse as you still have to isolate so you might as well have a cold. This is an interesting turnaround from Delta where no one actually knew anyone who had got covid and the fear of the disease was much stronger.
So, all up probably not as bad as the doomsayers would have you believe.
Regards,
Tote
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