Originally Posted by 
Homestar
				 
			I think you’re about spot on with your time line.  We’re starting to see some data from our first Lithium battery packs we use - they range from 10KWH to 125KWH and all are LiFePo4 tech.  Oldest of which is just on 3 years old now.
We’ve had some now do over 1200 charge cycles and we’ve seen exactly zero degradation in them which of course we’re pretty happy with.  Current performance and future long term are very different but our earlier AGM deep cycle systems we had between 10KWH and 30KWH show marked degradation after 1000 cycles.  The most we got from one of these was around 1600 cycles and 3 years and the batteries were toast by then.  We’ve replaced all of these with LiFePo4 since.  We know they’ll crap all over AGM tech but when they start to degrade and how quickly they fall off the cliff when that happens is still yet to be seen.  I think you’re right about the 5 year mark - we’ll have a pretty good handle on them by then.